October NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
2 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63%
3 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 70%
3 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96%
5 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
6 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 56%
7 JOHNSON Honor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
8 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
9 HWANG Gabi M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
10 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
11 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
12 CORTEYN Jolien 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 40%
13 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
14 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
15 XIAO julie 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
16 CHAVAN Arya 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
17 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
18 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 91%
19 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 23%
20 WANG Callie 100% 99% 94% 71% 36% 9% 1%
21 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 4%
22 SAYLES Nina R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
23 LAURI Keira 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 50% 15%
24 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
25 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
26 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 14%
27 JIANG Evelyn 100% 98% 86% 51% 13% 1%
28 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
28 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
30 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 1%
31 MELNYCHUK Yelyzaveta 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
32 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
33 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
34 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
35 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 67%
36 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
37 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
38 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
39 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 32%
40 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
41 LEE Alyson 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
42 TSE Angelina 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 2%
42 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% -
44 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9% 1%
45 LU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47% 3%
46 FAVO Isabella 100% 98% 84% 53% 22% 5% -
47 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3% -
48 YUCEL Emine I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
48 JEON Yuju 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
50 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 25%
51 LI Sonia 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
52 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
53 AWAD Royce 100% 95% 70% 30% 5% -
54 THURGOOD Madison C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
55 DHAR Rana 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% -
56 MACKAY Katherine 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4% -
57 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 22% 2%
58 YANG Lea 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
59 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
60 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 12% 1%
61 KIM Satie 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
62 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
63 KIM Sebin 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 20% 3%
64 REN Katherine 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
65 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
66 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
67 CHUNG Hailey 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
68 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 53% 7%
69 LI Jiaying 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
70 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
71 DOHERTY Maverick L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
72 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
73 LONG Jessie 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
74 DJAMIRZE Zara 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
75 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 1%
76 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7% -
77 BORTAI Eliza 100% 70% 26% 5% < 1% - -
78 LIN Elaine 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 6% -
78 XIONG Haojiao 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
80 LEOU Korina 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
81 HU Anna 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
82 NATHANSON Sammy E. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
83 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
84 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
85 KANG Ellie 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
86 WANG Yixuan 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
87 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 99% 90% 58% 17% 1% -
88 GAY Sasha 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
89 ARNOLD Hali 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 8% 1%
90 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
91 JOO Yeseul 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
92 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
93 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
94 KWON Ava 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
95 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 12%
96 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
97 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
97 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 5%
97 YOON Eunkyo 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
100 COLTER Aurora 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 8% 1%
100 SHTREVENSKY Maria 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 3%
102 UEMOTO Lynn 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
103 LIU Zhi Jun 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
104 HSU Leah 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% -
105 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
106 KWON Hannah 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
107 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
108 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
109 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
110 WANG Jiayi 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
110 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
112 CONG Anne 100% 99% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
113 TANG Zhifei 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
114 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 1%
115 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
116 DRAGON Rainer 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
117 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
118 CROOKS Riley 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
119 WU Yuwei 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
120 MUND Ruth 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
121 LO Chloe 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
122 SHI Julia 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
123 FAN Alexandria 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
124 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
125 HUANG Pierra 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
125 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
127 SPEARS Mya B 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3% -
128 PARK Seeun 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
129 SHUM Cindy 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 1% -
130 CARTER Keely 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3% -
131 GONG Joy 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
132 LOMOTAN Addison 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
132 TENG EMMA 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
134 MCAFEE Jada 100% 75% 31% 6% - - -
135 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 8% -
136 BROWN Aria 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
137 ARNECKE Lauren A. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
138 DANG Kelia 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
139 CHOI Charlotte 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
140 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
141 GUVEN Coco 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3% -
142 YUEN Nicole 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2% -
143 NGUYEN Siena 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10% 1%
144 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6% -
145 BAIK Sarah 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
146 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
147 NHA Chaewon 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3% -
148 TURIANO Nadelle 100% 76% 34% 9% 1% - -
149 NIU Jessica 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
150 KINKADE Ellie 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
151 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
152 LUKER Hannah 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
153 RAGHURAMAN Anishka 100% 83% 47% 15% 3% - -
154 XIE Nora 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2% -
155 SINGER Ellery 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
156 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 90% 57% 20% 4% - -
157 GUGALA Hanna 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
158 MOON Claire 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
159 LIU Hannah 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
160 GHOSH Priyanka 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
160 TOBAR Fatima 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
162 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
163 HUANG Doris 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
164 LIU kai yin aria 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
164 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 85% 49% 16% 2% - -
166 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 93% 64% 27% 5% - -
166 DHAR Layla 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
168 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
169 BUSH Bethany 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4% -
170 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 92% 64% 25% 4% -
171 VINOKUR Anita 100% 91% 59% 20% 2% -
172 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
173 SUNG Olivia 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
174 CASTELO Soleil 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
175 CHEN Ashley 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 5%
176 SAYSON Andrea 100% 94% 67% 26% 5% - -
177 LIU Kelly 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% - -
178 SEAL Julie T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
179 KIM Karen 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
180 YU Skylar 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
180 WONG Natalie 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% - -
182 KIM Hwayoon 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
183 CHIANG Melissa 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
184 ZHAI AMY 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
185 KAUL Tara 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
185 YU Stella 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
187 ONG Lauren 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
188 BERMAN greta 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
189 WILSON Eva 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
189 OCA Merci 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
191 CHEN Elaine 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
191 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
193 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
194 KANG Soeun 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -
195 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
195 BARROSO Isabela 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
197 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
197 CHANG Norah 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
197 WONG Charlene 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
197 NG Sophia 100% 75% 35% 10% 1% - -
201 LIN Annika 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
202 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
203 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
204 CAI Xinyi 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
205 NING Lynn 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
206 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8% -
207 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 80% 39% 9% 1% -
208 ZHANG Ashley 100% 83% 43% 13% 2% - -
209 XU Elaine 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
210 TENG Christine Renmei 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
210 FUNG Iris 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
212 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
213 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.