October NAC

Junior Women's Épée

Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
3 YIN Julia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 LEE Laena 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10% -
5 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
6 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
7 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
8 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 27%
9 LEE Scarlett 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
10 XU Sunia (Tai Yang) 100% 100% 89% 54% 17% 2%
11 XUAN Nicole J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
12 WANG Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
13 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
14 ABUELFUTUH Sama 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 2%
15 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
16 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
17 BALAZS Luca 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
18 YANG Seunghye 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
19 PARK Hyeongeun 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
20 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
21 SEREGIN Katya 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
22 PROFIS Liora 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 32%
22 WU Michelle 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
24 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
25 CHI Chelsea 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
26 NEELAM Navya 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
27 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
28 GUO Luxi 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 8%
29 CHO Minju 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 13% 2%
30 AI Amy 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 5%
31 FRANGER Macy 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 4%
32 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
33 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
34 YAO Melinda 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
35 BECKMAN Ana 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
36 XU Yvette 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 3%
37 DUBEAU Alexa 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 14%
38 HUREL Bertille 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
39 LISCUM Vivian 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 9%
40 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
41 WANG Trinity 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
42 HOLDEN Helena 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
43 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
44 ZHAO Alina 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31% 5%
45 PETROFF Eva 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
46 KIM Dain 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
47 STERR Isabella M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 4%
47 AZMEH nour 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
47 HAUSHEER Kuncen 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% -
50 FLITMAN Gabrielle 100% 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
51 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
52 CHERNIS Liah 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4% -
53 ILYAS Ayah 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
53 BRIDGE Rebekah 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
55 YILMAZ Pinar 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
56 KALGAONKAR Arohi 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
57 MENG YIFAN 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
58 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
58 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 98% 79% 36% 5%
60 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
61 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
62 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
63 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 3%
64 SCHMITT Harper 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
65 PECK Maia A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
66 LEE Claire 100% 100% 96% 75% 32% 5%
67 SONG Angela 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
68 CHI Zoe 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 4% < 1%
69 ADYANTHAYA Anika 100% 100% 94% 72% 32% 4%
70 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
70 SOBUS Yanka 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
72 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
73 MARTYNOVA Diana 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
74 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
75 MA Sophie 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
76 NEMETH Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 24%
77 JIANG Serena 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
78 LI Olivia 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 2%
79 LEE Gloria Y. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
80 GORNOVSKY Abigail 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 7%
81 CAMAMA Tessa 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 5%
82 RICHARDSON Meredith 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
82 HONG Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
84 YOUNG VIVIAN 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 18%
84 LI Fei 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 10%
86 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
87 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13%
87 FU Shannon 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
87 MOHAN Riya 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
90 WU Jessica 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
91 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
92 ZANGA Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 18%
94 SCHOR Elisabeth 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
95 POTAPENKO Margarita D. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 4%
96 STERN Savannah 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
97 ELSTON Sophia 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
98 XIONG Angelica 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 7%
99 IYER Ishana 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% 1%
100 MYRAH Vivienne 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
101 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
102 BASRALIAN Azniv 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
103 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
104 XIAO Nancy 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
105 SHEFFIELD Skye 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
106 CHOI Jaeeun 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
107 DOROSHKEVICH Victoria 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
108 DHAIYA Tanya 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
108 WANG Ziqiao (Claire) 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
111 PHUKAN Indra 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
112 HONG Gaon 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
113 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
114 MARTINEZ Christina 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% 1%
115 FENG Esther 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
115 LIN Isabel 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
117 BI Michelle 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
118 SUN Zeyu (Cathy) 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% -
119 GANSER Nicole 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
120 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 96% 58% 18% 3% -
121 TCHERNYSHOV ANNA 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
122 TAM Connie 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
122 KANG Yenna 100% 97% 60% 17% 2% -
124 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% 1%
125 GEVA Eliana 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
126 OLELE Ifechi 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
128 GAN Shelby 100% 97% 65% 24% 4% - -
129 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
130 MERRIMAN Rie 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 5% -
131 MENDOZA zoie 100% 100% 94% 66% 28% 5% -
132 LEE Olivia 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
133 BUSH emma 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
134 MAENG Gloria 100% 59% 16% 2% < 1% - -
134 LEE Yeriel 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
136 XU Jessica 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
137 LIANG Jingjing 100% 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
138 FURMAN Maria 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
138 KUMAR Eva 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 1%
140 CAMPBELL Eva 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
141 BRAGG Leah 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
142 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 96% 71% 31% 6% -
143 LAW Mila 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
144 KAUR Manroop 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
145 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 99% 75% 30% 5% -
146 ZHU Riley 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
147 CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
147 XU Amy(Chenyu) 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
149 SUN Hanya 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
149 MAI Mailan 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
151 VOSKOV Olivia 100% 98% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
152 LI Caroline 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
153 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
154 WANG Chloe 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2% -
154 YUNG Bethany 100% 93% 58% 20% 3% - -
156 HUANG Selina 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
157 ZHAO Isabel 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
158 WONG Caitlin 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 8% -
158 WANG Chantal 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
160 LEE Camilla 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 4% -
161 CHEN Ava 100% 73% 28% 5% - - -
162 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
163 SCANLAN Alina Nev 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
164 WATTANAKIT Anda 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
165 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 1%
166 LAI Amanda 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
167 BEATIE Isabella M. 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
167 KENT Laurel 100% 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
169 SHU Youshan 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
170 GOH Cayla 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
171 SALISTRA Emilia 100% 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2%
172 KROTZ Gemma 100% 98% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
173 WANG Victoria 100% 98% 79% 37% 8% 1%
173 GUAN Isabella 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
175 LOBANOVA Varvara 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
176 CHEN Alina 100% 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
176 YU Mandy 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
178 LEE Adelynn 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
179 ZHUANG Lauren 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 2%
179 YOUN Kylie 100% 83% 45% 15% 2% - -
181 MENG Fina 100% 77% 36% 8% 1% -
182 KANASKAR Ila 100% 99% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
183 MEMON Insha 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
184 NGUYEN Ella 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
185 ZHAN Clare 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
186 BURKS Madison 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
186 HERNASA Anna 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 3% -
188 MANDAP Svetlanna 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
189 XU Serena 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
190 LOZIER Grace 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
190 SATO Elyse 100% 49% 9% 1% - - -
190 FOMINA Polina 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
193 CHUANG Ramona 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2% -
194 YU Livia 100% 82% 34% 7% 1% - -
195 WANG Lihong 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
196 ZHANG Flora 100% 28% 3% - - - -
197 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
198 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 9%
199 BURT Emmalyne Grace 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
200 BROWN Riley 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
201 KOVALCHUK Erika S. 100% 97% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
202 NING Miranda 100% 95% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
203 LEVKOV Maita 100% 62% 18% 2% - - -
204 RASHID Summer 100% 53% 12% 1% - -
205 CHEN Dian 100% 15% 1% - - -
206 HERD Angela 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
207 SUN Karolyn 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
207 GARCIA Sophia Noelle 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
209 JEYOON Lauren 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
209 WALTER Anna 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
211 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 5% -
212 SU Evelyn 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
212 MCQUEEN Morgan 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
214 IVANOV Angela-Sophie 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
215 YOUN Emily 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
216 YUMIACO Nylah 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
217 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 33% 4%
218 GOLIYAD Lisa 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1% -
220 WHITELAW Shyann 100% 79% 33% 7% 1% - -
221 XU Emily (Hua) 100% 64% 18% 2% - - -
222 LI Jasmine 100% 70% 22% 3% - - -
222 MANDAP Alessandra 100% 96% 56% 18% 3% - -
224 GRUDZINSKI Josephine 100% 24% 2% - - - -
225 SCHULTZ Nomi 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
226 SAYAGUES Isabella 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% - -
227 THOMAS Mackenzie 100% 22% 2% - - - -
228 VIOLETTE Lih-Ann 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
229 RADOV Una 100% 81% 34% 7% 1% - -
229 BURROWS Beatrice 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
231 FENG Iris 100% 78% 35% 9% 1% - -
232 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 100% 17% 1% - - -
233 BOROTKO Katerina 100% 97% 71% 30% 6% 1% -
233 SHETH Anayaà 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
233 CHOWRIRA Reynah 100% 37% 6% - - - -
233 KREMER Maria 100% 13% 1% - - - -
237 HOAGLAND Sally 100% 81% 33% 6% - -
237 GAVILANES Madyson 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
239 PEI Claire 100% 91% 54% 18% 3% - -
240 CHEONG Chloe 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% - -
242 BEATINGO Chelli 100% 9% - - - - -
242 CHAN Macie 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.