USF 13th Annual Oktoberfence

Div I-A Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 8:00 AM

USF Recreation and Wellness Center - Tampa, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 IRWIN Peter 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
2 ALVIOR Jacob 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 KOSSMANN Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
3 ALVIOR Jonathan Adrian 100% 99% 88% 53% 14% 1%
5 ARCHIBALD Daniel 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
6 GROSSE Michael 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 20%
6 TYSON Charlie 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
8 HERARD Weiman 100% 99% 89% 55% 14% 1%
9 KARPF Jonah 100% 96% 75% 34% 6% -
10 MITTELSTAEDT Isaiah 100% 96% 69% 23% 2%
11 INTERTHAL William 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% -
12 PROVATAS Eustratios 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
13 BOLLE Elijah 100% 98% 79% 38% 8% 1%
14 CUEVA Viola 100% 100% 93% 64% 24% 3%
15 SUMER Defne Ada 100% 99% 87% 54% 16% 2%
16 FULLERTON Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
17 BATISTA Julian 100% 43% 8% 1% -
18 SANDERS Charlotte 100% 93% 64% 23% 4% -
19 FREY Wayne 100% 100% 93% 59% 11%
20 BARRETT John 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
21 BEAU DE ROCHARS Josh 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
22 BOROWSKI Olivia 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
23 SOU Barry 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
24 NONKOOKETKHONG Pakon 100% 88% 52% 17% 2% -
25 MCFARLAND John 100% 88% 54% 18% 2% -
26 COLANERI Trevor 100% 89% 42% 8% 1% -
27 ASLANER Eren 100% 93% 38% 5% -
28 SOKOLOWSKI Olivia 100% 56% 11% 1% - -
30 ARBELAEZ Catalina 100% 61% 19% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.