USF 13th Annual Oktoberfence

Div I-A Mixed Saber

Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 11:30 AM

USF Recreation and Wellness Center - Tampa, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 IRWIN Peter - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
2 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick - - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
3 RAKAJ Jozef - - - - 4% 17% 40% 38%
3 VU Mark - 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 9% 1%
5 BOUNDS Andrew - - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
6 RIETZ Cairan 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
7 TORO Diego - 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 8% 1%
8 EVANS Alexander 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
9 KAMAL Aidan - - 2% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
10 VU Matthew - - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
11 PASZEK Elijah - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
12 EMMONS Ayden - 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
13 FREEDMAN Alexander 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
14 HO Ricky 1% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
15 OWENS John 1% 6% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2% -
16 ARSENAULT Madeleine 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% - -
17 ARSENAULT Eve 19% 37% 29% 12% 3% - -
18 CARMODY Carson 1% 7% 23% 33% 24% 9% 2% -
19 STEPHENSON David 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% 1% -
20 HITZ Anna 1% 11% 29% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
21 TAOUIL Sarrah 36% 44% 17% 3% - - - -
21 ESPAILLAT Kayla 53% 36% 10% 1% - - - -
23 MOYERS Diego 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.