USF 13th Annual Oktoberfence

Div I-A Mixed Saber

Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 11:30 AM

USF Recreation and Wellness Center - Tampa, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 IRWIN Peter 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 37%
2 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
3 RAKAJ Jozef 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
3 VU Mark 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
5 BOUNDS Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
6 RIETZ Cairan 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 1%
7 TORO Diego 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 9% 1%
8 EVANS Alexander 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
9 KAMAL Aidan 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
10 VU Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
11 PASZEK Elijah 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
12 EMMONS Ayden 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
13 FREEDMAN Alexander 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
14 HO Ricky 100% 99% 85% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
15 OWENS John 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
16 ARSENAULT Madeleine 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 4% - -
17 ARSENAULT Eve 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
18 CARMODY Carson 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 2% -
19 STEPHENSON David 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% 1% -
20 HITZ Anna 100% 99% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
21 TAOUIL Sarrah 100% 64% 20% 3% - - - -
21 ESPAILLAT Kayla 100% 47% 11% 1% - - - -
23 MOYERS Diego 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.