Event Results
USF 13th Annual OktoberfenceSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MITTELSTAEDT Isaiah | V V V V | V V V V | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 2 | ARCHIBALD Daniel | D V V | V V V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 3 | SHULTZ Michael | V D D | V V D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 3 | PIMIENTO Tomas | V D V D V | V V V D | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 5 | GIRENKOV Andrei | V V V | V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 6 | BATISTA Julian | V V V | V D | 1.3 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 7 | MCFARLAND John | V V D V V | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 8 | RAMIREZ Michael | D V V | V V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 9 | JADHAV Tanay | V D V V | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 10 | HERARD Weiman | V V V D | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 11 | SANDERS Charlotte | D V V V | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 12 | BEAU DE ROCHARS Josh | D V V V D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 13 | BOROWSKI Olivia | D D V V | V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 14 | COLANERI Trevor | D D V D V | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 15 | KARPF Jonah | D V D D | V D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 16 | ALEKSEEV Konstantin | V D D D | V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 17 | SUN Yuzheng | V D V D | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 18 | BOLLE Elijah | V V D D D | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 19 | BARRETT John | V D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 20 | DAVIS Elisabeth | D V D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 21 | PLESS Gage Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 22 | INTERTHAL William | D D D V D | D | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| 23 | DAVIS Kelly | D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 24 | DAVIS Shanna | D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 25 | SOKOLOWSKI Olivia | D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |