USF 13th Annual Oktoberfence

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 1:30 PM

USF Recreation and Wellness Center - Tampa, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MITTELSTAEDT Isaiah - 3% 21% 46% 30%
2 ARCHIBALD Daniel 2% 49% 41% 8%
3 SHULTZ Michael 3% 24% 57% 17%
3 PIMIENTO Tomas 28% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
5 GIRENKOV Andrei 1% 12% 44% 43%
6 BATISTA Julian 18% 42% 32% 8%
7 MCFARLAND John 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
8 RAMIREZ Michael 13% 39% 37% 11%
9 JADHAV Tanay - 3% 47% 42% 8%
10 HERARD Weiman 4% 21% 40% 29% 6%
11 SANDERS Charlotte 3% 16% 36% 34% 12%
12 BEAU DE ROCHARS Josh 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
13 BOROWSKI Olivia 3% 20% 42% 28% 6%
14 COLANERI Trevor 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% -
15 KARPF Jonah 30% 43% 22% 5% -
16 ALEKSEEV Konstantin 2% 15% 39% 35% 9%
17 SUN Yuzheng - 5% 27% 48% 20%
18 BOLLE Elijah - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
19 BARRETT John 7% 29% 43% 21%
20 DAVIS Elisabeth 22% 49% 25% 4% -
22 INTERTHAL William - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
23 DAVIS Kelly 14% 39% 36% 11%
24 DAVIS Shanna 75% 23% 2% -
25 SOKOLOWSKI Olivia 54% 41% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.