October NAC

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Yifei - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
2 VINOGOROVA Sofiia - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
3 LEI Zitong (Meya) - - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
3 CHANG Norah - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
5 HUAI Delilah - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
5 WANG Yixuan - - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
7 FUNG Iris - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 13%
8 GUGALA Hanna - - 4% 21% 47% 28%
9 DJAMIRZE Zara - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
10 WANG Callie - - 1% 9% 33% 42% 15%
11 YOUNG Charlotte G. - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
12 CHIARELLI Valentina - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
13 WANG Jiayi - 1% 11% 35% 39% 13% 1%
14 TA-ZHOU Emma - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 3%
15 MOON Claire 1% 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
16 KIRBY Skye 6% 28% 41% 21% 4% - -
17 JIANG Evelyn - - 3% 17% 46% 34%
18 LONG Jessie - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
19 SENOGLU Irmak - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
20 HU Anna - - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
21 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
22 DANTULURI Shalini - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
23 JEON Yuju - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
24 LEE Alyson - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
25 CHAN Jolene - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 12%
26 KINKADE Ellie - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
27 CHOI Charlotte - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
28 MALEK Zolie - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
29 WU Yuwei - 3% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
30 LIU Hannah - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 3%
31 BROWN Aria - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
32 ARNOLD Hali - 1% 6% 22% 38% 29% 5%
33 KIM Seojin - - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
34 ZHANG XUANYI - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
35 WANG YIZHEN - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
36 CHAVAN Arya - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
37 SHMULER Fiona - 3% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
38 KANG Ellie - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
39 CONG Anne - 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
40 HSU Leah - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
41 LIU kai yin aria - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
42 REN Katherine - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
43 KIM Satie 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
44 GAUTAM Sahana - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
45 DHAR Layla - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
46 ZENG Sarah - - 1% 8% 31% 45% 15%
47 CHANG Annette 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
48 AWAD Royce - - 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
49 YU Stella 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 9% 1%
50 MACKAY Katherine - - 4% 20% 42% 29% 6%
51 LIN Elaine - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
52 YUEN Nicole - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
53 IANNUZZI Lucy 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
54 OCA Merci - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
55 BUSH Bethany - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
55 FERNANDEZ Martina - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
57 TENG EMMA - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
58 NG Sophia 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
59 SINGER Ellery - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
60 FAN Alexandria - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
61 MEYERSON Michelle 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
62 KWON Ava 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
63 NADKARNI Marisa 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
64 NING Lynn - 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
65 LUKER Hannah - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
66 GAIKWAD Ashmiee - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 4%
67 ZHAO Selena 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
68 JANG Eunchae - 1% 9% 32% 38% 17% 3%
69 HUANG Doris - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
70 CHEN Elaine - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5%
71 LEOU Korina - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
72 HUANG Pierra 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
73 GOLDIN Nina - 1% 8% 27% 43% 21%
74 GAY Sasha 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
75 LI Sonia - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
76 DAVIDOVA Kira - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
77 GONZALEZ Veronika - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
78 MERMEGAS Olivia - 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
79 CHIANG Melissa - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
80 ZHAI AMY - 4% 17% 32% 31% 13% 2%
81 MUNGUIA Mila - 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
82 XU Elaine 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
83 CASTELO Soleil - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
84 VINOKUR Anita - 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
85 DHAR Rana 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 5%
86 TONG Laurie 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 3% -
87 FAVO Isabella - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
88 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
89 GONG Joy - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
90 KWON Hannah - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
91 NIU Jessica - 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
92 RAGHURAMAN Anishka 1% 10% 30% 38% 17% 3% -
92 HSIEH Lucia - 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
94 BORGUETA Madison 2% 20% 38% 28% 10% 1% -
95 KU Alathea-Joy - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
95 KIM Audrey 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
95 MAO anna 1% 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
98 CROOKS Riley - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
99 KAUL Tara - 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
100 KO Ariel 11% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
100 GENTILE Vittoria - 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
102 MERCHANT Aishwarya - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
102 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
102 STAPLEY Claire 17% 43% 30% 9% 1% - -
102 PARK Chloe 2% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
106 GONZALEZ PARTIDA Valeria 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
107 HAMMERSTROM Aria - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
108 NGUYEN Summer 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
109 LEMMEN Jasmijn 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
110 ZHANG Ashley 2% 15% 32% 31% 16% 4% -
111 WONG Cerise 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
112 HAN sophia 47% 39% 12% 2% - -
113 HWANG Charlotte 2% 18% 39% 31% 9% 1%
114 KANG Soeun 7% 28% 38% 22% 4% -
115 HUANG Neila 7% 27% 39% 23% 4% -
116 CAI Xinyi - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
117 LIU Kelly 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% -
118 KIM Saeren - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
119 LOO Kaitlyn 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
119 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 2% 15% 32% 31% 16% 4% -
121 BERMAN greta - 1% 8% 27% 37% 23% 5%
122 SUNG Olivia 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
123 DAMBAL Sasha - 2% 9% 25% 34% 24% 6%
124 YADAV Tishya - 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
125 BORTAI Eliza - 6% 33% 40% 17% 3% -
126 KIM Karen - 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
127 BAIK Sarah - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
128 PEREIRA Izumi 15% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
129 WONG Natalie - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
130 KATZ Emma 8% 35% 37% 17% 3% - -
131 XIAO Cindy 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
132 WEI JoyAnn - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
133 TOPALOV Julia 13% 57% 26% 4% - - -
134 HILD Anya 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
135 SCHMIDT Isabel - - 1% 5% 23% 42% 29%
136 MAO Elsa 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
137 DESAUTELS Alexandra 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
138 RIFKIN Lielle 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
139 SENGUPTA Jia 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
140 YU Skylar 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
141 JAJRA Avni 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
142 LIN Annika 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
143 STADNIK Emilia 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
144 KIM Grace 12% 35% 36% 15% 2% -
145 NANDA Maanika 6% 32% 40% 18% 3% -
146 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
146 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
148 MCAFEE Jada 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
149 LIU Hannah 1% 16% 36% 31% 13% 2% -
150 LEE Kaitlin 1% 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
151 CAI Joanna 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
152 KNULL Emma 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
153 YE Madeleine 10% 37% 35% 14% 3% - -
154 WONG Charlene 9% 32% 36% 18% 5% 1% -
155 MEFFORD Isadora 54% 36% 8% 1% - - -
156 DUFF Caitlin 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
157 CAI Veronica 8% 36% 39% 15% 2% - -
158 ILAGAN Ava 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
158 WILFRET Katerina 63% 31% 6% - - - -
160 BRIMMER Bella 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
161 PATIL Jyothi 52% 36% 10% 1% - - -
161 KAVZAN Duru 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
163 PANCHAL Arya 42% 43% 14% 2% - - -
164 LIM Eunice 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
165 STONE Coral 3% 25% 39% 24% 8% 1% -
166 BERRIOS Catalina 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
167 VISWANATHAN Nishka 11% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
167 MING Emma 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
169 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
170 BHAVSAR Vanmayi 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
171 LI Yuluo 5% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
172 NAKATA Gwyneth 78% 20% 2% - - - -
173 LEE Madeleine 49% 38% 12% 2% - - -
173 YANG Renee 75% 24% 1% - - - -
173 ANDERSON Kathryn 97% 3% - - - - -
173 MISHRA Naisha 97% 3% - - - - -
177 KURTH Maya 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
178 HILL Amelia 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
179 WONG Lucia 75% 23% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.