October NAC

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
2 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
3 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
3 CHANG Norah 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
5 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
5 WANG Yixuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
7 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
8 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
9 DJAMIRZE Zara 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
10 WANG Callie 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 15%
11 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
12 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
13 WANG Jiayi 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 14% 1%
14 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
15 MOON Claire 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
16 KIRBY Skye 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% - -
17 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 34%
18 LONG Jessie 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4%
19 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30%
20 HU Anna 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
21 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
22 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
23 JEON Yuju 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
24 LEE Alyson 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
25 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
26 KINKADE Ellie 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
27 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
28 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
29 WU Yuwei 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
30 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 3%
31 BROWN Aria 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
32 ARNOLD Hali 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 5%
33 KIM Seojin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
34 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
35 WANG YIZHEN 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
36 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
37 SHMULER Fiona 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 14% 1%
38 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
39 CONG Anne 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
40 HSU Leah 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
41 LIU kai yin aria 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
42 REN Katherine 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 13% 2%
43 KIM Satie 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
44 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
45 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
46 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 15%
47 CHANG Annette 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
48 AWAD Royce 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
49 YU Stella 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
50 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 6%
51 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
52 YUEN Nicole 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
53 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
54 OCA Merci 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
55 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
55 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
57 TENG EMMA 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
58 NG Sophia 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% 1%
59 SINGER Ellery 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
60 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
61 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 2%
62 KWON Ava 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% -
63 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
64 NING Lynn 100% 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
65 LUKER Hannah 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 3%
66 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
67 ZHAO Selena 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
68 JANG Eunchae 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 3%
69 HUANG Doris 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
70 CHEN Elaine 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
71 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
72 HUANG Pierra 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
73 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
74 GAY Sasha 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
75 LI Sonia 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 20% 3%
76 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
77 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
78 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
79 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 96% 77% 44% 14% 2%
80 ZHAI AMY 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
81 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
82 XU Elaine 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
83 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 23% 3%
84 VINOKUR Anita 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 17% 2%
85 DHAR Rana 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
86 TONG Laurie 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 4% -
87 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
88 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
89 GONG Joy 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
90 KWON Hannah 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
91 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
92 RAGHURAMAN Anishka 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3% -
92 HSIEH Lucia 100% 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% -
94 BORGUETA Madison 100% 98% 78% 40% 11% 2% -
95 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
95 KIM Audrey 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
95 MAO anna 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 3% -
98 CROOKS Riley 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
99 KAUL Tara 100% 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1%
100 KO Ariel 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
100 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 6% -
102 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
102 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
102 STAPLEY Claire 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% - -
102 PARK Chloe 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
106 GONZALEZ PARTIDA Valeria 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
107 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 11%
108 NGUYEN Summer 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
109 LEMMEN Jasmijn 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
110 ZHANG Ashley 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
111 WONG Cerise 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
112 HAN sophia 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
113 HWANG Charlotte 100% 98% 80% 40% 10% 1%
114 KANG Soeun 100% 93% 65% 26% 4% -
115 HUANG Neila 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
116 CAI Xinyi 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
117 LIU Kelly 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
118 KIM Saeren 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
119 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
119 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
121 BERMAN greta 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
122 SUNG Olivia 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
123 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
124 YADAV Tishya 100% 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
125 BORTAI Eliza 100% 100% 93% 60% 20% 3% -
126 KIM Karen 100% 100% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
127 BAIK Sarah 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
128 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
129 WONG Natalie 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
130 KATZ Emma 100% 92% 58% 20% 4% - -
131 XIAO Cindy 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
132 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
133 TOPALOV Julia 100% 87% 30% 4% - - -
134 HILD Anya 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
135 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
136 MAO Elsa 100% 98% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
137 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
138 RIFKIN Lielle 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
139 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
140 YU Skylar 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
141 JAJRA Avni 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
142 LIN Annika 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
143 STADNIK Emilia 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
144 KIM Grace 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
145 NANDA Maanika 100% 94% 62% 22% 4% -
146 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
146 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 10% 1%
148 MCAFEE Jada 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
149 LIU Hannah 100% 99% 83% 47% 16% 3% -
150 LEE Kaitlin 100% 99% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
151 CAI Joanna 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
152 KNULL Emma 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
153 YE Madeleine 100% 90% 53% 18% 3% - -
154 WONG Charlene 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
155 MEFFORD Isadora 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
156 DUFF Caitlin 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
157 CAI Veronica 100% 92% 56% 17% 2% - -
158 ILAGAN Ava 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
158 WILFRET Katerina 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
160 BRIMMER Bella 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
161 PATIL Jyothi 100% 48% 12% 2% - - -
161 KAVZAN Duru 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
163 PANCHAL Arya 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
164 LIM Eunice 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
165 STONE Coral 100% 97% 72% 33% 9% 1% -
166 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
167 VISWANATHAN Nishka 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
167 MING Emma 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
169 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 100% 89% 53% 18% 4% - -
170 BHAVSAR Vanmayi 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
171 LI Yuluo 100% 95% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
172 NAKATA Gwyneth 100% 22% 2% - - - -
173 LEE Madeleine 100% 51% 14% 2% - - -
173 YANG Renee 100% 25% 1% - - - -
173 ANDERSON Kathryn 100% 3% - - - - -
173 MISHRA Naisha 100% 3% - - - - -
177 KURTH Maya 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
178 HILL Amelia 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
179 WONG Lucia 100% 25% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.