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Event Results

Div I Men's Saber

October NACSurprise Map

Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 2:00 PM Salt Palace Convention Center · Salt Lake City, UT, USA
216 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 WILLIAMS Grant W. V D V V V V V V V V V V V 5.9 5 -0.9
2 DENNER Max P. V V D D V V V V V V V D 3.6 3 -0.6
3 PAN Jerry V V V V D V V V V V V D 4.7 5 +0.3
3 OH Triton V V V D D V V V V V D 3.3 3 -0.3
5 HOLZ Daniel V V V V D V V V V D 5.2 5 -0.2
6 DESROSIERS Olivier V V V V D V V V V V D 5.3 5 -0.3
7 SKEETE Kamar A. V V V V D D V V V V D 5.3 4 -1.3
8 BERRIO Carter E. D V V V D V V V V V D 3.3 3 -0.3
9 LUKASHENKO Darii V V V V V V V V V D 5.1 6 +0.9
10 CHOI Silas V D V V V V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
11 PRIMUS Nazir V D D V V V V V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
12 LIM Sungmin V V D D V V V V V D 4.8 4 -0.8
13 TENG MATTHEW V D V V D V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
14 NG Jonathan V V V D D V V V V D 4.0 4 -
15 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) D V V D V V V V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
16 YE Eric D V V D D D V V V V D 3.3 2 -1.3
17 YEN Darren V V V V V V V V D 5.4 6 +0.6
17 ERMAKOV Semeon V V V V V V V V D 4.2 6 +1.8
19 HOMER Daryl D. V V V V V V V V D 5.8 6 +0.2
20 THOMPSON Khalil A. V V D V V V V V D 5.8 5 -0.8
21 HJERPE Wade H. V V V V D V V V D 3.4 5 +1.6
22 ASLAN Tolga V V V D V V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
23 BENAVRAM Lev C. V V D V V V V D 4.5 4 -0.5
24 REN James V V D V V V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
25 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. V V V D V V V D 4.7 4 -0.7
26 CHAVES Matthew J. D V V V D V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
27 KIM ELIJAH V V V V D D V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
28 ROBINSON William D V V D V V V V D 4.0 4 -
29 PASTORE LIU Vince V D V D V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
30 LIM William J. V V D D V V V V D 4.9 4 -0.9
31 DUNCAN Adlai D V V V D V V D 1.7 3 +1.3
32 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. D V D V D V V V D 2.1 2 -0.1
33 JANG Hwanyun V V V V V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
34 ESCUETA Tony V. V D V V V V V D 3.4 5 +1.6
35 WON Taeyoung V V V D V V V D 5.2 5 -0.2
36 VAID Luke V D V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
37 HONG Rubin D V V V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
38 BOOTH Zaheer V V V D V V V D 4.9 5 +0.1
39 LEE Noah V V V V V D V D 3.1 5 +1.9
40 GONZALEZ Emilio A. V V D V V V V D 5.5 5 -0.5
41 ANTHONY Devyn V. V V D V V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
42 TAO Jeffrey D V V V V V V D 2.8 5 +2.2
43 KALPATHY Rohit D V V V V V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
44 WALKER Dalton F. V D V V D V V D 5.0 4 -1.0
45 KIM Shaun M. D V D V V V V D 5.3 4 -1.3
46 JI Cody Walter V V D D V V V D 5.3 4 -1.3
47 WANG Nicolas D V D V V V V D 4.8 4 -0.8
48 SIERADZKY Dawson V D V V V D V D 5.1 4 -1.1
49 GUFFEY Christopher V V D V V D V D 3.5 4 +0.5
50 ROBERTS Sam D V V D V V V D 5.0 4 -1.0
51 SU Landon V V D D V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
52 HUANG Alex F. V D D V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
53 LI Howard V D V D V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
54 QIU Nathan D V V D V V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
55 CALLAHAN Jaden P. V V D D D V V V D 4.8 3 -1.8
56 GANASCIA-LIN Guillaume D V V D V D V V D 3.6 3 -0.6
57 LIN Daniel V V D D D V V V D 4.7 3 -1.7
58 NGO Maximus D V V D D V V D 1.9 2 +0.1
59 HWANG Jayden V D D D V V V D 2.1 2 -0.1
60 BAUER Hank E. D D D V V V V D 2.3 2 -0.3
61 KWALWASSER Eric V D D D V D V V D 3.1 2 -1.1
62 BAE Jason I. V V D D D D V V D 4.2 2 -2.2
63 YANG Dylan V D D V D D V V D 2.6 2 -0.6
64 BARTOLO Domenic V. D V V D D D V V D 3.2 2 -1.2
65 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. V V V V V V D 5.6 6 +0.4
66 RIGHTLER Samuel V V V V V V D 4.2 6 +1.8
67 TSE Aiden J V V V V V D 3.0 5 +2.0
68 CHON Collin V D V V V V D 2.7 5 +2.3
69 WANG Daniel V V D V V V D 3.7 5 +1.3
70 MEYERSON Jacob V V V V V D D 3.1 5 +1.9
71 UEMOTO Ken D V V V V V D 1.9 5 +3.1
72 GONG Jerry V V V V D V D 2.6 5 +2.4
73 PI Alexander V V D V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
74 WONG Tzer V V V V D V D 4.8 5 +0.2
74 LIN Maxim V V V D V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
76 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu D V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
77 LINDHOLM Oliver S. V V D V V V D 3.1 5 +1.9
78 LUHAN Zachary V D V V V D 2.0 4 +2.0
79 NAZLYMOV Andrei D V V V V D 4.0 4 -
80 MATTOO Deven V V D V V D 2.2 4 +1.8
81 YAO JINTAO V V V D V D 3.2 4 +0.8
82 BIAN Hongyu D V V D V V D 2.0 4 +2.0
83 JEFFORDS Alexander V V V D V D D 4.3 4 -0.3
84 JOO Jeein D V V V V D D 3.8 4 +0.2
85 LEE Heeseong D D V V V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
86 KANG Evan R. V D V V V D D 3.3 4 +0.7
87 CRAIN Bennett V D D V V V D 1.6 4 +2.4
88 RAMANAN Jaisimh V V D D V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
89 WANG ANDREW CHANG D V V D V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
90 YAO JINCHENG D V V D V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
91 WANG Jerry V V D D V V D 1.9 4 +2.1
92 HARVEY Nicholas J. D V V V D V D 4.8 4 -0.8
93 NOBLE Colin D V V V D V D 4.0 4 -
94 ANDRES Michael V V V D D V D 2.4 4 +1.6
95 BIVIJI Ali V V D D V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
95 BOLLU Viren D D V V V V D 1.2 4 +2.8
97 LI Ayden D V V V V D D 1.5 4 +2.5
98 SHOMAN Noah D V V V V D D 4.0 4 -
99 IYER Neil D V V D V V D 1.0 4 +3.0
100 SCHARDINE James D V V V D D 2.1 3 +0.9
101 TE VELDE Noah C. V V V D D D 4.5 3 -1.5
101 CHO RYAN D V V V D D 1.8 3 +1.2
103 POFF Kainoa V V D V D D 2.3 3 +0.7
104 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) V D D V V D 1.0 3 +2.0
105 ATANASSOV Vasil V. D D V V V D 4.1 3 -1.1
106 KANG Matthew V V V D D V D 1.7 3 +1.3
107 KOVALEV Daniil N. D V V D V D V D 3.5 3 -0.5
108 MAKLIN Edward P. V V D D V D V D 3.2 3 -0.2
109 LI Yiwei V D V D V D V D 3.0 3 -
110 CHUNG Connor D D D V V V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
110 LIU Kevin V D V D D V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
112 CONTRACTOR Cyrus D D V D V V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
113 LEE Yeongung D D V V D V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
114 KIM Kendrick V D V V D D V D 3.3 3 -0.3
115 FALCON-KORB Mathis V D V D D V V D 2.3 3 +0.7
116 CHEONG Heonjun D D V V V D V D 3.3 3 -0.3
117 ZHANG Kaixuan D V V D D V D 1.4 2 +0.6
118 WU Roger (Mengke) V D V D D V D 4.2 2 -2.2
119 LEE Andrew D D V D V V D 1.7 2 +0.3
120 CHOI HYUNSEOK V D D D V V D 4.3 2 -2.3
121 SUBA Lucas V D D V D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
122 JIN Liangxuan V V D D D V D 3.4 2 -1.4
123 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. V V D D D D V D 2.6 2 -0.6
124 ZHENG LEON D D V V D D V D 2.0 2 -
125 KUSHKOV Daniel V D D D V D V D 4.4 2 -2.4
126 MEHAN Nicholas D D V D V D V D 2.5 2 -0.5
127 KITSON Chase D V V D D D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
128 CHEN Jonathan V D D V V D 1.4 3 +1.6
129 HOUTZ Jackson D V V V D D D 3.4 3 -0.4
130 OH Aster D V D D V V D 2.3 3 +0.7
131 WESLER Logan A. V V V D D D D 3.8 3 -0.8
132 LAUB William D D V V D V D 3.0 3 -
133 AO Christopher V D V D V D D 1.5 3 +1.5
134 SO Preston V D D D V V D 2.3 3 +0.7
135 SADHU Neiyam D D D V V V D 1.8 3 +1.2
136 CHEN Samuel V D D V D V D 3.1 3 -0.1
137 WANG Samuel V D V V D D D 3.6 3 -0.6
138 LIN Philip T. D D V V D V D 2.1 3 +0.9
139 CAO Donald V V D V D D D 2.4 3 +0.6
140 ZHOU William D V D V D V 2.0 3 +1.0
141 GREMILLION Obadiah D V D D V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
142 CHENEY Christopher (Chris) M. V V D V D D D 4.0 3 -1.0
142 MATTOO Surya D D V V V D D 2.4 3 +0.6
144 LIU Aaron D V D V V D D 1.4 3 +1.6
145 WEI Rian V V D D D V D 1.9 3 +1.1
146 KIM Ethan D D V V V D D 3.8 3 -0.8
146 PINTO Marcus V V D D D V D 2.4 3 +0.6
148 ZHAO Lucas D D D V V D 2.4 2 -0.4
149 KILARI Krish V D D D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
149 TIAGI Daniel D V V D D D 1.8 2 +0.2
151 YADAV Lakshya D D V V D 1.0 2 +1.0
152 HU Chris D D D V V D 2.8 2 -0.8
153 DEPEW Spencer V D D V D D D 3.5 2 -1.5
154 LU Xinzhen D V V D D D D 3.7 2 -1.7
155 MICLAUS Justin D V V D D D D 4.9 2 -2.9
156 SHIPITSIN Alexander D D D V V D D 2.5 2 -0.5
157 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) D D D V V D D 2.6 2 -0.6
158 KATZ Ryan D D D V V D D 2.4 2 -0.4
159 MUNGUIA Nathan V V D D D D D 2.0 2 -
160 CHAN Elliott V D D D D V D 1.1 2 +0.9
161 KANG Evan V V D D D D D 2.2 2 -0.2
162 SHANKWILER Christopher D D V V D D D 1.7 2 +0.3
163 WANG Max V D D V D D D 1.7 2 +0.3
164 SUN George V D D D D V D 2.8 2 -0.8
165 MCDONALD Finn V D D V D D D 1.2 2 +0.8
166 HOLZ Lucas D D V D V D 2.1 2 -0.1
167 LINCOURT Arthur D V V D D D 2.0 2 -
168 KOTVALI Aneesh D V D V D D 1.3 2 +0.7
169 GREENBAUM Ian L. D D V V D D 2.7 2 -0.7
169 RAMANAN Govind V D V D D D 2.2 2 -0.2
171 LIN Felix D V D D V D 1.0 2 +1.0
172 COBIAN Richard D D V D D V 1.1 2 +0.9
172 FANG Eason V D D V D D 0.8 2 +1.2
174 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. V D V D D D 2.1 2 -0.1
175 CHOW William T. V V D D D D 2.0 2 -
176 GONG Alex D D V D V D 2.1 2 -0.1
177 YAN William D V D D D 2.4 1 -1.4
178 ANAND Rohan D D D V D 1.1 1 -0.1
179 EYBELMAN Ariel D D D V D 1.5 1 -0.5
180 TIAGI George D D V D D 1.1 1 -0.1
181 SASSI Ilyas D D D D V 1.1 1 -0.1
182 SAGE Sebastian V D D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
183 TANI Tino D D D V D D 1.6 1 -0.6
184 ONG Dylan D D D D D V 1.0 1 -
185 GHAYALOD ansh D D D D V D 4.0 1 -3.0
186 PATEL Rayn D D D V D D 3.2 1 -2.2
187 PORTER Dupree D D V D D D 1.5 1 -0.5
187 TOZZI Massimo D D V D D D 1.2 1 -0.2
189 TSAO Oliver D V D D D D 1.9 1 -0.9
190 WONG David V D D D D D 1.9 1 -0.9
191 PEREIRA Beckham D D D D D V 0.9 1 +0.1
192 HAN William D D D V D D 3.4 1 -2.4
193 HENDERSON Lucas D D D D V D 2.2 1 -1.2
194 FIROOZI Sam D D D D D V 0.5 1 +0.5
195 ZHAO Royce D D D D D V 1.5 1 -0.5
196 SANGSTER Arden D D D D V D 1.8 1 -0.8
197 SU Kingston D D D D V D 0.9 1 +0.1
198 PAVLENISHVILI Luke D D D V D D 1.4 1 -0.4
199 CHENG Brandon D D D V D D 1.1 1 -0.1
200 YOOK Isaac D D D D D D 1.4 0 -1.4
201 CAO Oliver D D D D D 1.6 0 -1.6
202 RODRIGUEZ Darlin D D D D D D 2.4 0 -2.4
202 KIM Hakyeom D D D D D D 3.0 0 -3.0
204 YANG Phillip D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8
205 BAI Evan D D D D D D 1.3 0 -1.3
206 HO Anson D D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0
206 IM Tyler D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
208 SUN Andrew D D D D D D 1.7 0 -1.7
208 KO Zuriel D D D D D D 1.9 0 -1.9
210 PIWOWAR Alex D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5
211 ATWOOD Griffin D D D D D D 2.3 0 -2.3
212 KHOTLINE Daniel D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
213 HERNANDEZ Stanton D D D D D D 2.1 0 -2.1
213 LAZARTE Gabriel D D D D D D 0.5 0 -0.5
215 HALL Noah D D D D D D 0.7 0 -0.7
216 HUNG Samuel D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%