October NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILLIAMS Grant W. - - - - 1% 12% 88%
2 DENNER Max P. - 1% 9% 34% 42% 14%
3 PAN Jerry - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
3 OH Triton - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
5 HOLZ Daniel - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
6 DESROSIERS Olivier - - - 1% 11% 42% 46%
7 SKEETE Kamar A. - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
8 BERRIO Carter E. - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
9 LUKASHENKO Darii - - - 2% 16% 53% 29%
10 CHOI Silas - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
11 PRIMUS Nazir - 1% 7% 28% 42% 19% 3%
12 LIM Sungmin - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
13 TENG MATTHEW - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12% 1%
14 NG Jonathan - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 5%
15 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 3% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
16 YE Eric - 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
17 YEN Darren - - - 1% 10% 38% 52%
17 ERMAKOV Semeon - - 4% 17% 37% 33% 9%
19 HOMER Daryl D. - - - - 1% 15% 84%
20 THOMPSON Khalil A. - - - - 2% 20% 78%
21 HJERPE Wade H. - 2% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
22 ASLAN Tolga - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
23 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - - 6% 32% 62%
24 REN James - 2% 13% 42% 35% 8%
25 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - - 2% 22% 76%
26 CHAVES Matthew J. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
27 KIM ELIJAH - 4% 17% 34% 32% 13% 1%
28 ROBINSON William - - 5% 22% 40% 28% 5%
29 PASTORE LIU Vince - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
30 LIM William J. - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
31 DUNCAN Adlai 8% 33% 42% 15% 2% -
32 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% -
33 JANG Hwanyun - 3% 18% 39% 32% 7%
34 ESCUETA Tony V. - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
35 WON Taeyoung - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
36 VAID Luke - 1% 7% 22% 37% 28% 5%
37 HONG Rubin - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
38 BOOTH Zaheer - - - 4% 23% 50% 22%
39 LEE Noah 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
40 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
41 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - 3% 15% 36% 38% 7%
42 TAO Jeffrey - 7% 29% 40% 19% 3% -
43 KALPATHY Rohit 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
44 WALKER Dalton F. - - - 4% 22% 48% 27%
45 KIM Shaun M. - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
46 JI Cody Walter - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
47 WANG Nicolas - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
48 SIERADZKY Dawson - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
49 GUFFEY Christopher - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
50 ROBERTS Sam - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 31%
51 SU Landon - 2% 12% 34% 36% 14% 2%
52 HUANG Alex F. - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20% 1%
53 LI Howard 1% 7% 26% 39% 24% 3%
54 QIU Nathan - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
55 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - - 5% 26% 49% 19%
56 GANASCIA-LIN Guillaume - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
57 LIN Daniel - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 23%
58 NGO Maximus 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
59 HWANG Jayden 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% -
60 BAUER Hank E. 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
61 KWALWASSER Eric - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% -
62 BAE Jason I. - - 3% 18% 42% 31% 5%
63 YANG Dylan 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3% -
64 BARTOLO Domenic V. - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% -
65 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. - - - - 4% 30% 66%
66 RIGHTLER Samuel - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 8%
67 TSE Aiden J 1% 6% 23% 40% 27% 3%
68 CHON Collin 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
69 WANG Daniel - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
70 MEYERSON Jacob 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
71 UEMOTO Ken 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
72 GONG Jerry 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2% -
73 PI Alexander - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
74 WONG Tzer - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
74 LIN Maxim - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
76 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
77 LINDHOLM Oliver S. - 4% 20% 39% 29% 8% -
78 LUHAN Zachary 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
79 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - 3% 19% 50% 28%
80 MATTOO Deven 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
81 YAO JINTAO - 3% 18% 39% 34% 6%
82 BIAN Hongyu 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
83 JEFFORDS Alexander - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
84 JOO Jeein - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21% 1%
85 LEE Heeseong - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% -
86 KANG Evan R. 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
87 CRAIN Bennett 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
88 RAMANAN Jaisimh - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
89 WANG ANDREW CHANG - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
90 YAO JINCHENG - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
91 WANG Jerry 8% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
92 HARVEY Nicholas J. - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
93 NOBLE Colin - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 5%
94 ANDRES Michael 2% 16% 38% 32% 11% 1% -
95 BIVIJI Ali 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
95 BOLLU Viren 22% 42% 28% 7% 1% - -
97 LI Ayden 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
98 SHOMAN Noah - - 5% 22% 41% 29% 3%
99 IYER Neil 27% 47% 22% 4% < 1% - -
100 SCHARDINE James 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% -
101 TE VELDE Noah C. - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
101 CHO RYAN 8% 30% 39% 20% 3% -
103 POFF Kainoa 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
104 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 32% 43% 21% 4% - -
105 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - 4% 18% 42% 35%
106 KANG Matthew 10% 33% 38% 17% 2% -
107 KOVALEV Daniil N. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
108 MAKLIN Edward P. - 4% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
109 LI Yiwei 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
110 CHUNG Connor 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3% -
110 LIU Kevin 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% -
112 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
113 LEE Yeongung - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 3%
114 KIM Kendrick - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
115 FALCON-KORB Mathis 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
116 CHEONG Heonjun 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
117 ZHANG Kaixuan 16% 39% 32% 11% 1% -
118 WU Roger (Mengke) - - 1% 14% 44% 41%
119 LEE Andrew 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
120 CHOI HYUNSEOK - - 1% 11% 44% 44%
121 SUBA Lucas 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
122 JIN Liangxuan 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
123 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
124 ZHENG LEON 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
125 KUSHKOV Daniel - - 2% 13% 36% 39% 11%
126 MEHAN Nicholas 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
127 KITSON Chase 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1% -
128 CHEN Jonathan 16% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
129 HOUTZ Jackson - 2% 15% 37% 33% 10% 1%
130 OH Aster 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
131 WESLER Logan A. - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
132 LAUB William 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
133 AO Christopher 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
134 SO Preston 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
135 SADHU Neiyam 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% 1% -
136 CHEN Samuel 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
137 WANG Samuel - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
138 LIN Philip T. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
139 CAO Donald 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2% -
140 ZHOU William 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
141 GREMILLION Obadiah 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
142 CHENEY Christopher (Chris) M. - 1% 6% 22% 40% 27% 5%
142 MATTOO Surya 2% 15% 39% 32% 10% 1% -
144 LIU Aaron 16% 42% 31% 10% 1% - -
145 WEI Rian 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
146 KIM Ethan - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
146 PINTO Marcus 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
148 ZHAO Lucas 2% 15% 36% 35% 12% 1%
149 KILARI Krish 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2%
149 TIAGI Daniel 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
151 YADAV Lakshya 28% 46% 23% 3% - -
152 HU Chris 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
153 DEPEW Spencer - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
154 LU Xinzhen - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
155 MICLAUS Justin - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
156 SHIPITSIN Alexander 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
157 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
158 KATZ Ryan 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
159 MUNGUIA Nathan 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
160 CHAN Elliott 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
161 KANG Evan 4% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
162 SHANKWILER Christopher 8% 37% 39% 14% 2% - -
163 WANG Max 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
164 SUN George 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
165 MCDONALD Finn 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
166 HOLZ Lucas 4% 22% 39% 27% 6% - -
167 LINCOURT Arthur 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
168 KOTVALI Aneesh 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
169 GREENBAUM Ian L. 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
169 RAMANAN Govind 2% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1% -
171 LIN Felix 30% 45% 20% 4% - - -
172 COBIAN Richard 27% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
172 FANG Eason 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
174 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
175 CHOW William T. 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
176 GONG Alex 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
177 YAN William 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
178 ANAND Rohan 28% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
179 EYBELMAN Ariel 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
180 TIAGI George 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
181 SASSI Ilyas 26% 47% 24% 4% - -
182 SAGE Sebastian 33% 43% 20% 4% - -
183 TANI Tino 11% 34% 37% 16% 2% - -
184 ONG Dylan 29% 43% 22% 5% - - -
185 GHAYALOD ansh - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
186 PATEL Rayn 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
187 PORTER Dupree 12% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
187 TOZZI Massimo 24% 40% 26% 9% 2% - -
189 TSAO Oliver 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
190 WONG David 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
191 PEREIRA Beckham 33% 46% 17% 3% - - -
192 HAN William - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
193 HENDERSON Lucas 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
194 FIROOZI Sam 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
195 ZHAO Royce 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
196 SANGSTER Arden 8% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
197 SU Kingston 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
198 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
199 CHENG Brandon 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
200 YOOK Isaac 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
201 CAO Oliver 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
202 RODRIGUEZ Darlin 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
202 KIM Hakyeom 1% 6% 23% 38% 25% 6% -
204 YANG Phillip 9% 31% 39% 19% 3% -
205 BAI Evan 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
206 HO Anson 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
206 IM Tyler 23% 44% 26% 7% 1% - -
208 SUN Andrew 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
208 KO Zuriel 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
210 PIWOWAR Alex 15% 36% 33% 14% 2% -
211 ATWOOD Griffin 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
212 KHOTLINE Daniel 39% 43% 16% 2% - - -
213 HERNANDEZ Stanton 3% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
213 LAZARTE Gabriel 59% 34% 6% - - - -
215 HALL Noah 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
216 HUNG Samuel 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.