USF 13th Annual Oktoberfence

Div II Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 1:30 PM

USF Recreation and Wellness Center - Tampa, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOE Annan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 62%
2 BABER Shaheer 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
3 SALAZAR Tomas 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
3 BARAHONA ARELLANO Ruben Emiliano 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
5 GADIYARAM Madhav 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 16%
6 GALLUCCI Julianna 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
7 CANTERO Erick 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1%
8 KIMURA Ryo 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 11%
9 LIU Joanna 100% 93% 63% 24% 3% - -
10 PICO DIB Clemance Cristina 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
11 BABER Eshaal 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
12 BRIGHT Colin 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3%
13 DALAL Amitav 100% 99% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
14 LOBEL Dillan 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 18% 2%
15 MASSUNG John 100% 93% 66% 29% 8% 1% -
16 CHEN Mikayla 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
17 ISAACSON Mary Beth 100% 98% 83% 51% 21% 5% -
18 SATTERFIELD Rory 100% 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
19 CHENG Emma 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% 1% -
20 OCCIANO Jade 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
21 ILIEV Ivan 100% 95% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
22 GINN Henry 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -
23 JOHNSON Campbell 100% 59% 13% 1% - - -
24 DEBELLIS Emma 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
25 CHEN Tyler 100% 71% 16% 2% - - -
26 CARRANZA Samuel 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
27 ROSSMAN Marie 100% 100% 99% 87% 48% 4% -
28 BOSCHETTI Abigail 100% 75% 29% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.