NEUSFA U20 and U17 JO Qualifiers

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
2 JIANG Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
3 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
3 CLEARY Owen 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
5 MOZZER Nolan 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
6 PAN Anthony 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
7 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
8 MORI Seneca 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
9 PETINO Leonardo 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
10 ERIKSEN Casey 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
11 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 6%
12 KELLEY Hayden 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
13 SUH Aiden 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 7%
14 ZHENG Jason 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
15 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
16 HOLCOMB Liam 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
17 SKLAR Davida 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
18 BENNETT Nathaniel 100% 99% 89% 55% 17% 2%
19 KABA Elias 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
20 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 99% 89% 54% 13% 1%
21 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
22 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6%
23 SONPAL Winslow 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% -
24 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
25 LI Ray 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
26 MITSCH Aubrey 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
27 ROBINSON Garrett 100% 98% 74% 35% 9% 1%
28 WHITE Aidan 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
29 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 95% 67% 25% 3% -
30 PARIGIAN Alexander 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2%
31 MECHREFE Anthony 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
32 BEAULIEU Edmund 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% -
33 RUDIGER George 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
34 ZHENG Yicheng Will 100% 81% 37% 9% 1% -
35 CHAN Tyler 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% -
36 RICHARDS Jack 100% 66% 22% 3% - -
37 LIU Easun 100% 19% 1% - - -
38 AKEHURST MOORE Ian 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
39 BOXER Eishan 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
40 HOLBROOK Joshua 100% 100% 89% 56% 20% 3%
41 MANN Daniel 100% 90% 52% 17% 3% -
42 CHUKWU Mark 100% 97% 75% 32% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.