Ataba Fencing Club October Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Ataba Fencing Club - Hartland, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SPIER Julian H. - - - 1% 15% 47% 37%
2 MCDOWELL Will 1% 8% 27% 37% 23% 5%
3 NOWAK Jakub P. - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
3 CURTY Jack - 7% 31% 41% 19% 2%
5 BEACH John - - - 11% 48% 34% 7%
6 SINAI Nathan G. - - 1% 12% 33% 39% 15%
7 GLASS Timothy C. - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
8 SERAFYM Damian - 6% 27% 41% 23% 3%
9 KRAJ Pawel 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
10 SCHERG Caleb 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
11 MACGREGOR Grant - 2% 21% 53% 21% 3% -
12 RITTERBUSCH Abigail 4% 35% 42% 17% 2% - -
13 SWANSON Dave 1% 8% 28% 40% 22% 3%
14 BURKHARDT Krista L. 27% 47% 22% 4% - -
15 HENSEL Kaeleb 49% 38% 11% 2% - -
16 ZEPEDA Andres 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
17 BERTRAND Reece 28% 44% 23% 5% - -
18 ALLER Bruce 3% 28% 63% 7% - - -
19 CHEEVER Katie 69% 27% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.