Ataba Fencing Club October Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Ataba Fencing Club - Hartland, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 37%
2 MCDOWELL Will 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
3 NOWAK Jakub P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
3 CURTY Jack 100% 100% 93% 62% 21% 2%
5 BEACH John 100% 100% 100% 100% 89% 41% 7%
6 SINAI Nathan G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 15%
7 GLASS Timothy C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23%
8 SERAFYM Damian 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 3%
9 KRAJ Pawel 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
10 SCHERG Caleb 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
11 MACGREGOR Grant 100% 100% 98% 77% 24% 3% -
12 RITTERBUSCH Abigail 100% 96% 61% 19% 2% - -
13 SWANSON Dave 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 3%
14 BURKHARDT Krista L. 100% 73% 26% 4% - -
15 HENSEL Kaeleb 100% 51% 13% 2% - -
16 ZEPEDA Andres 100% 97% 74% 35% 8% 1%
17 BERTRAND Reece 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
18 ALLER Bruce 100% 97% 70% 7% - - -
19 CHEEVER Katie 100% 31% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.