TMFC Youth Saber Cup (Westchester) #1

Div III Mixed Saber

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Tim Morehouse Fencing Club - Port Chester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MESSINGER Joshua 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
2 LEISTNER Armin - 3% 22% 46% 29%
3 DOWNES Camille 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
3 RUSCH Gavin - 1% 11% 34% 40% 14%
5 FAUCI Michael John - 1% 28% 49% 22%
6 DAI Ethan 1% 37% 42% 17% 3% -
7 MASSO Anthony 6% 28% 42% 22% 2%
8 WONG Liam 2% 21% 43% 29% 6%
9 ALBERI Scott - 5% 24% 45% 26%
10 FLASTER Jackson 1% 11% 34% 39% 14% 1%
11 MEADOW Joshua 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
12 COOKE Dallis 36% 46% 16% 2% -
13 DAVIS Audrey 14% 52% 30% 4% -
14 DALY John 9% 40% 38% 12% 1%
15 LAM Cassie 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
16 LAM Chloe 26% 45% 24% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.