TMFC Youth Saber Cup (Westchester) #1

Div III Mixed Saber

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Tim Morehouse Fencing Club - Port Chester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MESSINGER Joshua 100% 98% 85% 49% 13%
2 LEISTNER Armin 100% 100% 97% 75% 29%
3 DOWNES Camille 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
3 RUSCH Gavin 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
5 FAUCI Michael John 100% 100% 99% 71% 22%
6 DAI Ethan 100% 99% 61% 19% 3% -
7 MASSO Anthony 100% 94% 66% 24% 2%
8 WONG Liam 100% 98% 77% 35% 6%
9 ALBERI Scott 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
10 FLASTER Jackson 100% 99% 89% 54% 15% 1%
11 MEADOW Joshua 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
12 COOKE Dallis 100% 64% 18% 2% -
13 DAVIS Audrey 100% 86% 34% 4% -
14 DALY John 100% 91% 50% 13% 1%
15 LAM Cassie 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
16 LAM Chloe 100% 74% 29% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.