2nd Annual Crimson Classic

Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 9:00 AM

The University of Alabama Recreation Center - Tuscaloosa, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 ELLIOTT Wyatt - - 1% 17% 82%
2 KNOX Aidan - 9% 41% 50%
3 BONILHA-VAN'T HOF Rafael - 1% 14% 44% 41%
3 BUZINKAI Brennan - 1% 18% 80%
5 PEACOCK Audrey 79% 20% 2% -
6 GAYFORD Zachary 15% 47% 36% 3%
7 MEILAN William 1% 15% 53% 27% 3%
8 FORD Tillman 1% 23% 58% 18%
9 JOHNSTON Jacob 11% 41% 35% 11% 1%
10 NOLL Jack 1% 16% 49% 34%
11 DEMAREE Matthew 18% 45% 29% 7% 1%
12 SEATON Jake 2% 68% 28% 2%
13 CALINSKY Edward 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
14 MANNING Jackson 5% 33% 45% 17% -
15 HUNTER James 14% 48% 36% 2%
16 DUNKLE Carson 1% 9% 33% 43% 14%
17 DALY Daniel 1% 12% 34% 39% 13%
18 HAAS Lindsey 33% 47% 17% 2% -
19 SUMMEY Travis 1% 12% 60% 27%
20 PHILLIPS Carson 45% 43% 11% 1%
21 ACCORNERO Aidan - 8% 40% 49% 3%
22 BARRETT John 13% 66% 20% 1% -
23 FULLER Patrick 26% 51% 20% 2% -
24 SAVANNAH Keith 4% 38% 46% 12%
25 VARNER Kathryn 85% 15% 1% -
27 FOUNDAS Thaddeus 5% 29% 41% 21% 4%
27 O’FARRILL Mosi 30% 45% 22% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.