2nd Annual Crimson Classic

Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 9:00 AM

The University of Alabama Recreation Center - Tuscaloosa, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 ELLIOTT Wyatt 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 KNOX Aidan 100% 100% 91% 50%
3 BONILHA-VAN'T HOF Rafael 100% 100% 99% 84% 41%
3 BUZINKAI Brennan 100% 100% 99% 80%
5 PEACOCK Audrey 100% 21% 2% -
6 GAYFORD Zachary 100% 85% 39% 3%
7 MEILAN William 100% 99% 84% 30% 3%
8 FORD Tillman 100% 99% 76% 18%
9 JOHNSTON Jacob 100% 89% 48% 12% 1%
10 NOLL Jack 100% 99% 84% 34%
11 DEMAREE Matthew 100% 82% 37% 8% 1%
12 SEATON Jake 100% 98% 30% 2%
13 CALINSKY Edward 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
14 MANNING Jackson 100% 95% 62% 17% -
15 HUNTER James 100% 86% 38% 2%
16 DUNKLE Carson 100% 99% 90% 57% 14%
17 DALY Daniel 100% 99% 87% 52% 13%
18 HAAS Lindsey 100% 67% 20% 3% -
19 SUMMEY Travis 100% 99% 87% 27%
20 PHILLIPS Carson 100% 55% 12% 1%
21 ACCORNERO Aidan 100% 100% 92% 52% 3%
22 BARRETT John 100% 87% 21% 1% -
23 FULLER Patrick 100% 74% 23% 2% -
24 SAVANNAH Keith 100% 96% 59% 12%
25 VARNER Kathryn 100% 15% 1% -
27 FOUNDAS Thaddeus 100% 95% 66% 25% 4%
27 O’FARRILL Mosi 100% 70% 26% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.