Rain City Fall RJCC+Div II ROC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
2 WONG Hawken - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
3 HOLMES Xavier 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
3 LI Coby - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
5 GOGNA Rehan - 1% 11% 33% 38% 15%
6 LIAO Yifong - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
7 GUVEN Derin - 10% 34% 37% 16% 2%
8 ZHANG Lucas 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
9 MILLER Charlie - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
10 SULLIVAN Gerard 12% 45% 35% 7%
11 HSIEH Christian - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
12 MITCHELL-LU Hiro 10% 33% 36% 18% 4% -
13 JOHNSON Jack 35% 43% 18% 4% - -
14 VACCA Giovanni 1% 12% 43% 44%
15 VALENTINE Rhys 5% 31% 47% 17%
16 BECK Mica 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
17 NA Yuchan Zachary 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
18 RASHELL Simon - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
19 NELSON Henry 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
20 WILCOX Kellen 78% 20% 2% - - -
21 WU Garrick 5% 41% 38% 13% 2% -
22 KIL Mitchell 54% 38% 8% -
23 LIEBISCH Milo 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.