Rain City Fall RJCC+Div II ROC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
2 WONG Hawken 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
3 HOLMES Xavier 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2%
3 LI Coby 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
5 GOGNA Rehan 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 15%
6 LIAO Yifong 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
7 GUVEN Derin 100% 100% 90% 56% 18% 2%
8 ZHANG Lucas 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 3%
9 MILLER Charlie 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
10 SULLIVAN Gerard 100% 88% 42% 7%
11 HSIEH Christian 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
12 MITCHELL-LU Hiro 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
13 JOHNSON Jack 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
14 VACCA Giovanni 100% 99% 87% 44%
15 VALENTINE Rhys 100% 95% 64% 17%
16 BECK Mica 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
17 NA Yuchan Zachary 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
18 RASHELL Simon 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
19 NELSON Henry 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
20 WILCOX Kellen 100% 22% 2% - - -
21 WU Garrick 100% 95% 53% 16% 2% -
22 KIL Mitchell 100% 46% 8% -
23 LIEBISCH Milo 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.