2025 Fall Foliage Classic

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 2:00 PM

UVM -Patrick Gym, West Court - South Burlington, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MIAN Ismail - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
2 YIN Chujun - 1% 10% 29% 40% 19%
3 LUSSIER Jesse B. - 6% 25% 41% 24% 3%
3 RUGGLES William R. 2% 32% 49% 16% 2% -
5 STEVENS James F. - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
6 BUSH Thomas - 1% 13% 42% 36% 7%
7 MAY Ciaran - 3% 15% 37% 37% 9%
8 COFFIN Carleton - - 6% 25% 44% 25%
9 HMAID wessim - - 5% 27% 46% 22%
10 REARDON Patrick M. - 2% 15% 38% 36% 9%
11 HAN Keyi - 13% 37% 36% 13% 2%
12 HENTY Colton - 19% 40% 30% 9% 1%
13 LEVANDOWSKI Jim - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
14 WALTING Paul J. 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
15 MARCOUX Alexander 2% 20% 42% 28% 6% -
16 LIN George 3% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1%
17 CRAWFORD Chandler 1% 21% 42% 28% 8% 1%
18 KROHN Matthew 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
19 LEVANDOWSKI Lakota 8% 40% 39% 11% 1% -
20 NGUYEN Thanh H. - 5% 24% 39% 26% 6%
21 WHEELER Michele L. 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
22 MCDARBY Michael B. - 4% 20% 43% 30% 4%
23 PEDEN Emily 33% 43% 20% 3% - -
24 POWERFREEMAN Mark 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
25 FERLAND Brent 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
26 RANSDEN emmett 11% 40% 36% 12% 2% -
27 WRIGHT Nicole 77% 21% 2% - - -
28 ARMES Maggie 37% 46% 16% 2% - -
29 ZIMMERMAN Robert 15% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
30 BIXBY Peter W. < 1% 2% 13% 33% 36% 14%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.