2025 Fall Foliage Classic

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 2:00 PM

UVM -Patrick Gym, West Court - South Burlington, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MIAN Ismail 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
2 YIN Chujun 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
3 LUSSIER Jesse B. 100% 100% 94% 69% 27% 3%
3 RUGGLES William R. 100% 98% 66% 18% 2% -
5 STEVENS James F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
6 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 99% 85% 43% 7%
7 MAY Ciaran 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 9%
8 COFFIN Carleton 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
9 HMAID wessim 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 22%
10 REARDON Patrick M. 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 9%
11 HAN Keyi 100% 100% 87% 50% 14% 2%
12 HENTY Colton 100% 100% 81% 41% 11% 1%
13 LEVANDOWSKI Jim 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
14 WALTING Paul J. 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
15 MARCOUX Alexander 100% 98% 77% 35% 7% -
16 LIN George 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
17 CRAWFORD Chandler 100% 99% 78% 36% 8% 1%
18 KROHN Matthew 100% 97% 77% 41% 11% 1%
19 LEVANDOWSKI Lakota 100% 92% 52% 13% 1% -
20 NGUYEN Thanh H. 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
21 WHEELER Michele L. 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
22 MCDARBY Michael B. 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 4%
23 PEDEN Emily 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
24 POWERFREEMAN Mark 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
25 FERLAND Brent 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
26 RANSDEN emmett 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% -
27 WRIGHT Nicole 100% 23% 2% - - -
28 ARMES Maggie 100% 63% 18% 2% - -
29 ZIMMERMAN Robert 100% 85% 45% 13% 1% -
30 BIXBY Peter W. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.