Manhattan Fencing Center Foil Liberty Cup

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Manhattan Fencing Center - New York City, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIN Gregory 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
2 CASCONE Raffaele - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
3 CHEN Aidan 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
3 GAO Evelyn - 3% 23% 50% 23% 1%
5 FLINT Ashton 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
6 CHIN Iker - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
7 SHERRILL Daphne - 4% 14% 29% 31% 17% 4%
8 CHEN Aria 5% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
9 MONES Rye - 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
10 DUAN EDELINE - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
11 LU Eli 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
12 CAZE Nora 7% 31% 40% 19% 3% -
13 ZHU Chelsea 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
14 CHEN Jonathan - 6% 25% 39% 24% 6% -
15 LEE Mason 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
16 HUANG Emery 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% - -
17 SHANG Eva - 2% 14% 39% 36% 10%
18 CHIANG Dean - 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 2%
19 CHIU WU Edward 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
20 QUINT PARK Cassandra 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.