Manhattan Fencing Center Foil Liberty Cup

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Manhattan Fencing Center - New York City, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIN Gregory 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
2 CASCONE Raffaele 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
3 CHEN Aidan 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
3 GAO Evelyn 100% 100% 97% 74% 24% 1%
5 FLINT Ashton 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
6 CHIN Iker 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
7 SHERRILL Daphne 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
8 CHEN Aria 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
9 MONES Rye 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
10 DUAN EDELINE 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
11 LU Eli 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
12 CAZE Nora 100% 93% 62% 22% 4% -
13 ZHU Chelsea 100% 92% 65% 30% 9% 1% -
14 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
15 LEE Mason 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
16 HUANG Emery 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
17 SHANG Eva 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 10%
18 CHIANG Dean 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 2%
19 CHIU WU Edward 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
20 QUINT PARK Cassandra 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.