NEUSFA U20 and U17 JO Qualifiers

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 COGLIANO Max 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 14%
2 LIU Eric 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 MENZIES Liam 100% 99% 87% 56% 18%
3 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 11%
5 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 98% 85% 46% 7%
6 MCCARTHY Michael 100% 88% 54% 21% 4% -
7 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 100% 91% 56% 16% 1%
8 CUSSON William 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
9 KAPOOR Krish 100% 90% 58% 21% 3%
10 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 100% 87% 51% 17% 2%
11 CHIN Adrian 100% 89% 56% 22% 4% -
12 ZHIVICH Theodore 100% 69% 24% 3% -
13 ALCAREZ Emmett 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
14 GAO Francis 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
15 PEACE Samuel 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
16 MARSHQUIST Miles 100% 86% 45% 10% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.