Saratoga Open Youth Foil Tournament

Y-8 Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 4:30 PM

Saratoga Fencing Club - Saratoga, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUN Leia 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
2 XU Evan 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
3 HO Karsten 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
3 RUAN Alexander 100% 98% 82% 43% 8% - -
5 SHEN Rebecca 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15% 1%
6 LEI Adam 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
7 LIN Valentina 100% 100% 91% 46% 8% < 1% -
8 GUAN Angie 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
9 XIE Caden 100% 93% 64% 27% 7% 1% -
10 XIE Chen 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
11 GALANG Audrina 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
12 BINDAL Ashita 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
13 CHEN Bennett 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
14 CHEN Lyra 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% - -
15 HSU Justin 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
16 MALHOTRA Kaira 100% 70% 19% 2% - - -
17 LI Effie 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
18 AN Smiley 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
19 SIN Ian 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% - -
20 LI Emery 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 9%
21 LUO Eddie 100% 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.