Rain City Fall RJCC+Div II ROC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
2 WU Alistair 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
3 GOWDA Suyog 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 1%
5 DAN Rex 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 15%
6 LEE Daniel 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 5% -
7 PALACIOS Francisco 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1%
8 WEGENER Soren 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
10 BREILING Nikki 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
11 OLSON Kevin 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
12 LU Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 56%
13 LEWIS Michael 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
14 BREILING Sebastian 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
15 LI Timothy 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
16 MATHES Caleb 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
17 BACON Corban 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
18 MEHROTRA Dhruv 100% 44% 9% 1% - -
19 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
20 ST CLAIR Soren 100% 100% 94% 68% 23% 2%
21 DONDISCH Ilan 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
22 WAI Andreas 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
23 WANG Aaron 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14% 1%
24 MONTGOMERY Elliot 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
25 CASONI Calder 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
26 CHEN Christopher 100% 90% 52% 13% 1% -
27 HARRISKING Benjamin 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1%
28 WANG Juehan 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
29 CHAN Joseph 100% 53% 12% 1% - -
30 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 87% 45% 12% 2% - -
31 CALKINS Logan 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
32 GE Ray 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% -
33 CLIFTON Ian 100% 92% 58% 16% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.