Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Hall C - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CUELLAR Markus 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
2 ZHANG Jason 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
3 BHANDARE Veer 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
3 ALABI Azryl 100% 100% 96% 83% 56% 24% 5%
5 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18%
6 LEE Henry 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
7 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
8 CHO Alex 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 14%
9 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
10 YANG Alex 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
11 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
12 PFEIL Shawn 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
13 OSHIMA Robert 100% 99% 89% 66% 34% 11% 1%
14 WANG Charles 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1%
15 WANG Marcus 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
16 FOGEL Jake 100% 95% 70% 34% 9% 1%
17 NOOL Alexander 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
18 CARMAN Elliot 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
19 CHEN Raymond 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
20 ECKERT Kevin M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
21 TUNG Charlie 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5%
22 ANDERSON Riley 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
23 HAO Yucong 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
24 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
25 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
26 CHAU Collin 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
27 KIM Zac 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% -
28 LI Zeren 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
29 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
30 KUSACTAY Eric 100% 98% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
31 MOULDING Hugh 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
32 LIN Yufei 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
33 YU Kenneth 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
34 KIRSCH Adam J. 100% 98% 85% 58% 27% 8% 1%
35 PANAS Mason 100% 97% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
35 MCCANDLISH Owen 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
37 HERTZOG Ben 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
38 LEE Elijah 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
39 MANTINAOS Constantinos 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
40 REELS Eric J. 100% 99% 95% 79% 50% 20% 4%
41 MCFADDEN Charles 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
42 LEE Kalvin 100% 94% 73% 40% 15% 3% -
43 MAGUIRE Timothy 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
44 WARD Evan 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
45 LAW Oliver 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
46 WEI Noah 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.