Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Cadet Women's Foil

Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Hall C - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 TSIMIKLIS aphrodite 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95%
2 CAO Amelie 100% 100% 100% 98% 71%
3 JOO Sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
3 SELSER Ella 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
5 LAVINE Samantha 100% 100% 90% 56% 19% 2%
6 HUSSIAN Annabelle 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
7 MA Emily(Yiming) 100% 100% 97% 74% 14%
8 DONG Katelyn 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
9 WAN Celine 100% 100% 96% 78% 35% 1%
10 SUN Erin 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 2%
11 NICUDEMUS Bryella 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
12 EYER Brooke 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
13 HOLLIS Priscillia 100% 96% 73% 31% 6% -
14 XU-FERGUSON Victoria 100% 99% 91% 60% 20% 2%
15 EPSTEIN Naomi 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
16 SHAH Mahi 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
17 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 9%
18 FEDER Acadia 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
19 JAIN Dia 100% 91% 49% 9% -
21 CHAN Kaitlyn 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
22 ALBRECHT-SMITH Anne 100% 98% 83% 47% 12% -
23 ZHU Alivia 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
24 STEWART Isla 100% 95% 57% 18% 3% -
25 BROWN Katelyn 100% 85% 48% 14% 1% -
26 LENZ Phoebe 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
27 BALIN Sophia 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% -
28 GOMEZ Sofia 100% 91% 55% 17% 2% -
29 KAPUR Vanya 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
30 SONG Sarah 100% 86% 49% 14% 2% -
31 HONG Mabel 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% -
32 MCCORMICK Ella 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
33 LOBO Sophie 100% 29% 2% - -
34 BALMER Zoe 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
35 LEVY Zia 100% 21% 2% - - -
35 KUI Ava 100% 99% 57% 8% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.