Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Hall C - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Alexander - - - - 4% 25% 71%
2 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - 1% 5% 18% 33% 32% 12%
3 CHIANG William - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
3 CHEN Evan - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 31%
5 CHEN Aiden - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
6 ZHENG Jasper - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
7 LIN Aiden 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
8 NOOL Aaron - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
9 LEE Taeryum 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
10 YAO Irvine 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 1%
11 FANG Charlie - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 11%
12 SHAO Mason 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
13 LAI Jaxon 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
14 ZINCHUK Yuri 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
15 LEE Asher 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
16 CARPENTER Taisei 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
17 DUDDA Kavin 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
18 BUTLER Xavier - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
19 KIM Brendan 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
20 PEGUS Izzy - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
21 DAI Jason - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 8%
21 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin 1% 6% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
23 LAW Benjamin 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
24 HONG Evan 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
25 BOYT Evan 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% -
26 MILOWSKY Majai 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
27 LUO Sebastian 6% 27% 40% 23% 4% -
28 CRUZ Juno - 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1%
29 YIN Xiangheng 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
30 LEE Jack 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
31 GOH Cayden 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
32 SON Joshua 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
33 YADAV Aarav 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
34 SALIBA Jackson 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
35 WILSON Henry - 4% 21% 40% 28% 6%
36 LEE Derek 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
37 RHODES-BRATTON Josiah - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
38 HWANG Christopher 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
39 HERIGSTAD Daniel 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
40 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
41 BIXBY Meer 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.