Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Hall C - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
2 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 43% 12%
3 CHIANG William 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
3 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
5 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
6 ZHENG Jasper 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
7 LIN Aiden 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
8 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
9 LEE Taeryum 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
10 YAO Irvine 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
11 FANG Charlie 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
12 SHAO Mason 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
13 LAI Jaxon 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
14 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2%
15 LEE Asher 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
16 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
17 DUDDA Kavin 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
18 BUTLER Xavier 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
19 KIM Brendan 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
20 PEGUS Izzy 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
21 DAI Jason 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 37% 8%
21 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
23 LAW Benjamin 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
24 HONG Evan 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
25 BOYT Evan 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% -
26 MILOWSKY Majai 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
27 LUO Sebastian 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
28 CRUZ Juno 100% 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
29 YIN Xiangheng 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
30 LEE Jack 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
31 GOH Cayden 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
32 SON Joshua 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
33 YADAV Aarav 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
34 SALIBA Jackson 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
35 WILSON Henry 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
36 LEE Derek 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
37 RHODES-BRATTON Josiah 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
38 HWANG Christopher 100% 69% 28% 7% 1% - -
39 HERIGSTAD Daniel 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
40 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 5% -
41 BIXBY Meer 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.