Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Hall C - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAN William 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
2 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
3 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
3 JIANG Terence 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
5 VEDRE Neil 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
6 JI Johnson 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
7 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 5%
8 ZHANG Ray 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 18% 2%
9 FENG Brendan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
10 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
11 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 17%
12 MCDONALD Finn 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
13 WASCO Andrew 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 1%
14 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
14 BAI Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
16 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
17 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
18 LIU Ryan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
19 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 2%
20 GUYDOUK Alexey 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
21 NAJI Ethan 100% 99% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
22 ZHANG Richard 100% 93% 56% 19% 3% - -
23 WU Vincent 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
24 YANG Byron 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
25 TITOV Zachary 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
26 ZHANG Simon 100% 94% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
27 LIEU Nicholas 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
28 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
29 CHANG Timothy 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
29 VISH Manyu 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
31 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
32 WEISS Toby 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
33 ABELL Marc 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
34 FREILICH Harrison 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
35 DEMERS Bodhi 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
36 JARAMILLO Juan 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
37 KANG Jayden 100% 73% 29% 6% - - -
38 COBITZ Harrison 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
39 SONG Ryan 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
40 HOWARTH Hayes 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
40 JIN Yubo 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% - -
42 KULKARNI Ishir 100% 38% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.