13th Annual Little Musketeers RYC & RJC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GU Andrew - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
2 HWANG Hagan - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
3 LEE Nathan Uju - - - 7% 40% 52%
3 GREENSTEIN Viktor - - - - 2% 21% 77%
5 OU Rigel - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26%
6 SUN Eon - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
7 SLOAN Ethan - 2% 18% 52% 25% 3%
8 AN Chris - - 5% 24% 42% 26% 2%
9 YANG Jake 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 4%
10 FISCHER Noel - 2% 14% 36% 36% 11%
11 WANG Ryan - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
12 TENG Lucas - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
13 CHEN Aaron - 1% 10% 31% 40% 17% 1%
13 FUGATE Logan 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
15 LI Ryan - - 3% 24% 52% 21%
16 KIM Leo - 9% 28% 35% 20% 6% 1%
17 CHAN Troy Devon - 1% 8% 29% 42% 21%
18 WONG Ron - - 4% 19% 43% 35%
19 KIM Suin - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
20 LEE Winston - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
21 SU Eric - 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
22 HAN Kyle 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
23 WANG David - 1% 12% 34% 38% 14%
24 LVOVSKIY Roman - 1% 9% 31% 41% 17%
25 TONG Evan 3% 24% 56% 16% 2% -
26 WARD Carter 1% 7% 28% 39% 21% 4%
27 KIM Enoch 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
28 LO Elroy 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
29 CHEN Zhengming - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
30 PI Edwin - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
31 LEI Isaac 2% 15% 37% 33% 12% 1%
32 HIROTA Jackson 30% 48% 19% 3% - -
33 SAHA Aadi 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
35 HORN Diodorus 1% 10% 35% 37% 16% 2% -
36 HUNG Jaden 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
37 GUO Jonathan - 4% 23% 40% 27% 6%
38 CHEUNG Evan - 3% 19% 39% 31% 9% -
39 YUEN Caleb - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
40 YPHANTIDES Alexander - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14%
41 WANG James - 2% 11% 29% 35% 18% 3%
42 HIROTA Mitchell 44% 41% 13% 2% - -
43 DESAI Arthav - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
44 LIU Baichen (Matthew) - 7% 29% 39% 21% 4%
45 MOROAICA Seiku - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
46 LEE Alexander 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
47 XIE Justin - 5% 22% 38% 26% 7% 1%
48 JI Derek - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
49 ADAMS Jordan 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
50 SHI Jeremy 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
51 QI Zach 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
52 HSIEH Maxwell 9% 36% 37% 15% 3% -
53 WU Kaiden 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
54 XIN Ryan 48% 42% 10% 1% - -
55 WU Allen 44% 40% 13% 2% - -
56 FU BRANDEN - < 1% 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
57 RAMOS Pious 37% 42% 18% 4% - - -
58 WONG Alexander 2% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
59 LOVELL Jackson 11% 40% 35% 12% 2% -
60 NG Jaden 17% 51% 26% 5% - - -
61 ZHAO Ivan 65% 29% 5% - - - -
62 AUSTIN John V. 35% 47% 16% 2% - -
63 OH Caleb 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
64 LAMORI Matt 23% 54% 20% 2% - -
65 HELM Bijan 60% 32% 7% 1% - - -
66 JUNG Andres 55% 37% 7% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.