13th Annual Little Musketeers RYC & RJC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HSIEH Lucia 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
2 MARTINEZ Maria 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 28%
3 HAN Emma 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
3 LIQUARD Lea 100% 97% 75% 32% 4% -
5 NING Lynn 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
6 CHANG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
7 KIM Hyunseo 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
8 JUNG Sienna 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
9 BORDAS HILL Georgiana 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
10 CHEN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 55%
11 HENRY Erin 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1%
12 ZHANG angelina 100% 99% 76% 33% 5%
13 DIMAPILIS JHEAVEN 100% 99% 70% 22% 2%
14 LEE Madeleine 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
15 VILLAMATER Mia Franchesca 100% 93% 63% 22% 2% -
16 LIM Eunice 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2%
17 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
18 VIGNEUX Nolwenn 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% -
19 NGUYEN Summer 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
20 BAIRD Kaleah 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
21 BHAVSAR Vanmayi 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
22 LIN Ariel 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
23 OH Chloe 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
24 SONG Phoebe 100% 84% 40% 10% 1% -
25 SCHOTT Marine 100% 24% 2% - -
27 DING Jolie 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2%
28 SCHAMBERGER Amelia 100% 93% 61% 20% 2% -
29 CHEN Colette 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
30 ENNIS Charlotte 100% 81% 42% 12% 1% -
31 FANG Lauren 100% 38% 6% - - -
32 PANCHAL Arya 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
33 WELCH Greta 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
34 LI Jessie 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
35 OLESKY Ellie 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
36 SOLANTO Ilaria 100% 99% 88% 48% 7%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.