Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Monday, October 13, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Hall C - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOI Noah 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
2 ERATA Selena 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 1%
3 SALIBA Madison 100% 98% 79% 40% 11% 1%
3 CHUNG Yenna 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
5 LIOU Skylar 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4%
6 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
7 LEE Gloria 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
8 ALVAREZ Megan 100% 73% 33% 9% 1% - -
9 STAFFORD Thylane Sage 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
10 WONG Dorothy 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
11 LIAN Cailey 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
12 LUO MAOMAO 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
13 ABDELFATAH Laila 100% 34% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.