Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC - RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Friday, October 17, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAO Olivia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 56%
2 XING Melly 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 16%
3 MURPHY Genevieve 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
3 LIU Qianchen E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
5 JOO Sara 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 19%
6 WEN Cynthia 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
7 MALIK Manha 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 23%
8 BYK Karalina 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
9 KOU Elisha 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
10 YANG Olivia 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
11 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
12 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
13 LIU Bella 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 1%
14 GENG Emma 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
15 DONG Audrey 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 2% -
16 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 4%
17 KHETPAL Aalia 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
18 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 37%
19 KIM Yuna 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
20 WANG Joann 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
21 SON Ayoung 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 18%
22 LIN Claire 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
23 ZHANG Selina 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
24 CHAN Hailey 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
25 PARK Hannah 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 27% 3%
26 XU Charlene 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
27 MA Sophia 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% -
28 CHAN Jaclyn 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% - -
29 LUO lucy 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9% 1%
30 ZHANG Priscilla 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2% -
31 HEMPHILL Mia 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
32 CHEN Aimee 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
33 REILLY Carys 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
34 FAROOQI Eliora 100% 98% 86% 51% 17% 2% -
35 KUANG Bella 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
36 LU Sophia 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
37 VO Evelyn 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
39 KIM Lael 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
40 HUANG Rosalyn 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
41 HUANG Gabrielle 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 3% -
42 LEE Isabella 100% 93% 65% 25% 4% - -
43 HUANG Emma 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
44 KOESTERS Cecilie 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
45 WEN Lillian 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
46 FANG Yining 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
47 MCCLAIN Madison 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
48 MILLER Anna 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 1%
49 SMART Athena 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
50 JAZWINSKI Ivy 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
51 FENG Claire 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2% -
52 HUANG Jiayu 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
53 CREECH Emily 100% 99% 82% 44% 12% 1%
54 GONZALEZ Lauren 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
55 PAN Nina 100% 88% 53% 16% 2% - -
56 REN Luna Siyi 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
57 CULLIVAN Elise 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% - -
58 WANG Sally 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
59 LI Aiyu 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
60 JU Victoria 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
61 LI Beatrice 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
61 KANASZ Peyton 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
63 KLINGER Isabel 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
64 CHENG Aaralyne 100% 99% 83% 49% 18% 3% -
65 MOORE Sisipho (Talia) 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 7%
66 ZHOU Jennifer 100% 99% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
67 WANG Kelly 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
68 SEO Grace 100% 81% 40% 9% 1% - -
69 YU Angelina 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.