9th Annual It's a Pirate's Life for Me!

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Buccaneer Blades Fencing - Wentzville, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAP Nathan - - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
2 WU Byron - - - 6% 35% 58%
3 DONG Liangtong - 4% 24% 50% 21% 2%
3 BROWN Lucas - 6% 31% 43% 18% 2%
5 KOKKER Thomas 1% 11% 38% 37% 12% 1%
6 RILEY Brad - - - 5% 34% 61%
7 EHREN Mesa - 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
8 HILL Aren - 2% 13% 39% 41% 5%
9 BARTON Leo 1% 7% 30% 43% 18% 2%
10 VAUGHAN Paul - - 4% 28% 52% 16%
11 OAKES Liam - 5% 25% 44% 22% 4% -
12 LAGEMANN Kurt 1% 7% 26% 41% 22% 4%
13 LEE Geongsik (Lee) - - - 3% 27% 61% 9%
14 HELLMAN Daniel 11% 36% 38% 14% 2% -
15 GEISER Michael J. - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
16 WATSON Kip 7% 72% 20% 2% - -
17 SCHRADER Joseph 1% 16% 52% 26% 4% -
18 MEYER Joseph 2% 20% 43% 30% 5% - -
19 DREHER Abraham 28% 44% 23% 5% - -
20 SANGEETHA Sanosh 36% 47% 15% 2% - -
21 BUECKING Jannis 28% 47% 21% 4% - -
22 ELLIOTT Lowella 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
23 FOUST Abigail 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -
24 BELL Libby 64% 31% 5% - - -
25 GRAINGER David 2% 18% 43% 30% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.