9th Annual It's a Pirate's Life for Me!

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Buccaneer Blades Fencing - Wentzville, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Byron 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
2 VAUGHAN Paul 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 25%
3 POTTER Joshua (Josh) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
3 FU Jason 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
5 PETTLON Quinn 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 17%
6 BROWN Lucas 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
7 YANG Pengfei 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
8 SCHECHTER Noah 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
9 HILL Aren 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
10 ZIMMERMAN Karmen 100% 96% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
11 BUCHHOLZ Zachary 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
12 SMITH Dylan 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
13 LIPTON Maximilian 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
14 YAP Nathan 100% 100% 97% 75% 29% 5% -
15 LEE Geongsik (Lee) 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
16 LI Suri 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 6% -
17 STEPHENS Rick W. 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
18 NI Karl 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 5% -
19 LAGEMANN Kurt 100% 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
20 SCOGGIN Daniel 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
21 STRATHMAN Cordelia 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
21 HERL DeLaine 100% 90% 33% 5% - - -
23 KOKKER Thomas 100% 98% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
24 LI Jiucheng 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6% -
25 LUYAPAN Steven 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
25 NAJJAR Tony 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
27 RENAUD Josie 100% 20% 1% - - - -
28 WESTON Michael 100% 58% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.