2025 Szathmary Smackdown II

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 1:00 PM

TRECS Gym - Knoxville, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SZATHMARY Michael J. - - 1% 19% 58% 22%
2 STEWART Brian 1% 31% 48% 18% 2%
3 VINCENT Phillip D. - - 1% 12% 41% 45%
3 MOHAMMED Sadiq - 1% 14% 59% 26%
5 GUIRGUES Alexander - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
6 SWETT Isaac B. 1% 14% 38% 36% 12%
7 BONILHA-VAN'T HOF Rafael 16% 39% 33% 11% 1%
8 SHAGHAGHI Sahand 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
9 SPELL Kayla - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
9 DIAMOND Gavin - 6% 48% 36% 9% 1%
11 SIMPSON Tobias 5% 31% 39% 20% 5% -
12 EVERHARDT William 27% 50% 20% 2% -
13 PALMER Emmanuel - 6% 26% 44% 24%
14 MALIN Noah 18% 61% 19% 1% - -
15 SHARPE Kyle 1% 11% 31% 39% 18%
16 CRICHLOW Isabella 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
17 HELTON Aliha 77% 21% 2% - -
18 BROCK Maya 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
19 MOSES Max 1% 10% 38% 40% 12%
20 MOSES Alexander < 1% 6% 31% 51% 10% -
21 WILLIAMS Aidan 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 2%
22 GONZALES Gueller 2% 29% 48% 20% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.