Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC - RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAO Selena - - 3% 18% 39% 32% 7%
2 SUN Yi - - - 1% 8% 40% 51%
3 HUANG Pierra - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
3 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
5 LI Tira - 1% 6% 21% 38% 28% 6%
6 CAFAGNA Sofia 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
7 PARK Gabriella 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
8 NIU Jessica - - - 2% 13% 46% 40%
9 ZHANG Ashley - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 31%
10 LIU Chelsea - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
11 NEMORIN Rei - - 1% 6% 27% 49% 19%
12 HEATH Isabella - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
13 CASTELO Soleil - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
13 FUNG Iris - - - 2% 11% 37% 49%
15 LEE Kaitlin - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 6%
16 MACHIRAJU Ishita 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
17 PARK Haylie - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
18 CHOWDHERY Myra - - - 4% 21% 48% 27%
19 MEYERSON Michelle - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
20 MOTOVA Masha 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2%
21 CHAU Zoey - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
22 REN Katherine - - - 4% 28% 67%
23 PEREIRA Izumi - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 10%
24 ZHANG Nikki 9% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
25 XU Elaine - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
26 KATZ Emma - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 3%
27 TA-ZHOU Sophia - - 4% 16% 37% 36% 7%
28 WANG MONA - 3% 15% 36% 37% 10% -
29 LI Tiffany - 1% 9% 26% 38% 22% 4%
30 CANARAN Daphne M. 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
31 YANG Selina - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 2%
32 LEE Elise 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
33 LAU Angela 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5% < 1%
34 HU Alicia - 2% 11% 33% 40% 14%
35 ZONG Eliane - 1% 7% 24% 39% 24% 5%
36 AN Jamie 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
37 YIN Xizi 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
38 KABILING Anika Von Marie 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 1%
39 LIU Stephanie 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 2%
40 SAGER Bianca 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
40 WANG Selina 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
42 SHTEYMAN Simone 5% 29% 39% 22% 5% - -
43 ALMEDA Galina 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
44 DELELLIS-TALOMIE Rae 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
45 WU Harper 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
46 DOROBANTU Emma 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2% -
47 LIU Teresa - 5% 23% 39% 26% 6% -
48 CHEN Chloe 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
49 PHILLIPPY Hannah 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
50 HU Sophia 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
50 HU Emily 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
52 QIU Emily - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
53 CHAM Morgan 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
54 ZHANG Shihan 2% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
55 BAO Amelia 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3% -
55 KWAN Kelly 21% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
55 JEON Kristen 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
58 GISCHLER Mila 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
59 ZHANG Audrey 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
60 ARGUELLO Camilla 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
61 TSIPORUKHA Arie 1% 7% 26% 39% 21% 5% -
62 AN Jasmine 11% 39% 35% 13% 2% -
63 VARAH Alaia 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
64 FREY Elise 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
65 MEINING CHLOE 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
66 KONDE Anika 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
67 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 13% 41% 33% 11% 2% - -
68 BINSHTOK Ariana 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
69 KIM Jodie 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
70 KRITZ Sofia 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% - -
71 WANG Emily 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
72 LEE Jiyoung 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
73 PURITZ Morgan 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
74 ARANGO Ivanna 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
75 DAYNO Riley 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
76 YAO Elizabeth 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
77 WANG Keira 5% 23% 38% 27% 7% - -
77 ATA Emily 17% 37% 31% 13% 2% - -
79 LI Agnes 1% 11% 29% 33% 19% 6% 1%
80 HAROYAN Lilit 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
82 SADHU Mira 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
83 SHELDON Adriana 2% 20% 41% 28% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.