Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC - RJCC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FAYEZ Malika 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
2 WANG Hailie 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
3 ERATA Selena 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
3 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
5 ZHAO Crystal 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8%
6 HARSAR Cleo 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
7 VILLER Gabriella 100% 97% 73% 34% 8% 1%
8 SALIBA Madison 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
9 ZHAO Rachel 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
10 RYU Natalee 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
11 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1%
12 GORDON Winter 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 1%
13 AINSWORTH Esme 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
14 MAO Faith 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
15 MASKIN Anna 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4%
16 CHUNG Yenna 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
17 LEE Zerah 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
18 FARIAS Francesca 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2%
19 CHOI Noah 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 1%
20 LEE Gloria 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
21 YOON Michelle 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
22 MENG Yinuo 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3%
23 YOUN Caila 100% 40% 7% 1% - -
24 MILNE Polly 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.