Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC - RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAO Olivia 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
2 EYER Brooke 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
3 LI Joy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
3 PUTHOFF Olivia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
5 ROBERTS Anastasia 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
6 LIU Qianchen E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
7 HUANG Natalie 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
8 XING Melly 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 13%
9 YANG Olivia 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
10 HU Sophie 100% 100% 99% 92% 57% 11%
11 MURPHY Genevieve 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
12 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 13%
13 SUN Nicole 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 8% 1%
14 SHIN Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
15 CAO Amelie 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
16 BO Iris 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 32% 5%
17 KRAHE Annika 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
18 YIN Chloe 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 14%
19 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
20 KUANG Bella 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% -
21 SON Ayoung 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
22 MALIK Manha 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 8%
23 ZHU Ella 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 9%
24 LI Savannah 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
25 DONG Iris 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
26 EPSTEIN Naomi 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 7%
27 LIN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
28 WANG DINA C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
29 KOU Elisha 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
30 ZHANG Selina 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
31 KIM Yuna 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
32 GENG Emma 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1%
33 JOO Sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
34 FENG Claire 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% < 1%
35 LUO lucy 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
36 CHUNG Stella 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
37 REILLY Carys 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
38 PARK Hannah 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10% 1%
39 ZHANG Priscilla 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
40 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 3%
41 ELLISON Ingrid 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
42 ZHANG Caroline 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% -
43 WANG Joann 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 26% 4%
44 HUANG Emma 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 10% 1%
45 CHEN Aimee 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
46 WEN Cynthia 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
47 BYK Karalina 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 15%
48 KOESTERS Cecilie 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
49 LIN Claire 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 6% -
50 HEMPHILL Mia 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
51 SHANG Arianna 100% 100% 90% 48% 12% 1%
52 VO Evelyn 100% 94% 60% 20% 3% -
53 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% -
54 FAN Melody 100% 96% 75% 41% 12% 2% -
55 DHALIWAL Seerat 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1% -
56 DONG Katelyn 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
57 SMART Athena 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
58 LIU Bella 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2% -
59 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
60 KHETPAL Aalia 100% 98% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
61 HUANG Rosalyn 100% 86% 26% 3% - -
62 KOESTERS Florentine 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
63 MCCLAIN Madison 100% 96% 69% 28% 6% 1% -
64 JAZWINSKI Ivy 100% 98% 80% 42% 13% 2% -
65 LU Chloe 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
66 SHUI Zola 100% 96% 66% 25% 5% - -
67 FAROOQI Eliora 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
68 LEO Jenna 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -
69 XU Charlene 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
70 LOBO Sophie 100% 73% 27% 4% - - -
71 CHAN Hailey 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
72 HOLLIS Priscillia 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
73 ZHU Alicia 100% 40% 7% 1% - -
74 BELL Blake 100% 94% 70% 35% 9% 1% -
75 LI Aiyu 100% 82% 40% 9% 1% - -
76 YIN Emily 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
77 KIM Lael 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
78 LU Sophia 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
80 BALMER Zoe 100% 90% 54% 15% 2% - -
81 REN Luna Siyi 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
82 HUDSON Sophie 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
83 WARDMAN Abigail 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
84 CARMEN Charlotte 100% 26% 2% - - -
85 CREECH Emily 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
86 MOORE Sisipho (Talia) 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
87 CHENG Aaralyne 100% 33% 5% - - - -
88 KANASZ Peyton 100% 38% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.