DCFC Youth Epee Challenge

Y-14 Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 3:00 PM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DOAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
2 HUDSON Declan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
3 GUO Benjamin 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
3 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 5%
5 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 100% 93% 54% 10% 1%
6 WANG Liam 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
7 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
8 LOPATIN Sergei 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
9 YU Jeremy 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
10 ZHOU Luke 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
11 KUBBA Sauvil 100% 99% 83% 48% 15% 2%
12 JOSEPH Aarav 100% 100% 98% 86% 47% 10%
13 ZHUKOV Egor 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 6%
14 SCHIFFRIN Jonah 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
15 MILLER Xavier 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1%
16 CLARK Graeme 100% 100% 100% 78% 32% 4%
17 GORDON Hannah 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
18 SMITH Noah 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
19 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
20 ADLER Anneliese 100% 83% 28% 4% - -
21 BURKE Claire 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% -
22 WORMACK Andrew 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
23 KELLY Evelyn 100% 98% 69% 24% 4% -
24 MOORE Sophia 100% 37% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.