Fall Frolic 2025

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Augusta Fencers Club - Augusta, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ARZT Nicholas - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
2 BENDER Rhys T. - - 2% 16% 42% 40%
3 KRIEGER Jack - 1% 6% 26% 43% 25%
3 SLATTERY Kaden - 5% 25% 40% 25% 5%
5 FONG Henry - 1% 8% 32% 40% 17% 2%
6 VILLANI Henry M. - 2% 18% 40% 32% 7%
7 MANN Justin - 4% 22% 41% 27% 6%
8 PIERCE Chandon - 7% 31% 40% 19% 3%
9 SHEHORN Connor - - 2% 14% 39% 37% 9%
10 FERRARO Nicholas 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
11 CHRISTMAN Ethan - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
12 ZHANG Xinyi 2% 56% 35% 7% 1% - -
13 KING Seth - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
14 MINOR David E. 6% 31% 40% 19% 3% - -
15 TAURMAN Jr. Patrick J. - 42% 41% 14% 2% -
16 GEISSLER Maximilian 14% 50% 28% 6% 1% -
17 SANTALESA Richard 61% 33% 5% - - -
18 THORNBURG Rosa 26% 46% 23% 4% - - -
19 SIMPSON Emily 72% 25% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.