2025 Szathmary Smackdown II

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 3:00 PM

TRECS Gym - Knoxville, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KNOX Aidan - 2% 15% 44% 33% 6%
2 MEILAN William - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
3 DONG Joshua - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
3 KARRIEM Zainuddin - 3% 16% 40% 37% 4%
5 FORD Tillman - - - 3% 23% 59% 15%
6 CARRIE Konnor - - 3% 17% 44% 30% 6%
7 KMETT Clementine 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% < 1%
8 PUFFENBERGER Daniel 1% 11% 31% 35% 17% 4% -
9 SEATON Jake - - 6% 30% 45% 17% 2%
10 CARNEY Landon - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
11 BEDWORTH Paige - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
12 SINDBERG Ali 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
13 LEPESQUEUR Hiago - - 1% 8% 24% 40% 27%
14 AGUILAR Zaid 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
15 GUIDRY-VAN ESSEN Dylan 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
16 HAAS Lindsey 3% 23% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
17 KEITH Savannah 4% 25% 44% 23% 4% -
18 BAUM Benjamin - - 2% 13% 43% 42%
19 HUNTER James 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
20 SIMPSON Tobias - 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
21 DREWRY Alexandra 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
22 BARRETT John 15% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
23 BROCK Maya 28% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
24 SUMMEY Travis 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
25 HARKNESS Luke 12% 40% 37% 10% 1% -
26 HERNDON Rylee 4% 25% 41% 25% 5% -
27 HAYES Zackery 1% 8% 29% 43% 18% 1%
28 HANNER Robert - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
29 PIPER Maggie 3% 26% 43% 24% 4% - -
30 MCCRACKIN Andrew 1% 11% 39% 39% 11% -
31 FOUNDAS Thaddeus 3% 16% 36% 32% 12% 1% -
32 WOLLITZ Addison 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
33 KARRIEM Veronica 16% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.