2025 Szathmary Smackdown II

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 3:00 PM

TRECS Gym - Knoxville, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KNOX Aidan 100% 100% 98% 84% 39% 6%
2 MEILAN William 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
3 DONG Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
3 KARRIEM Zainuddin 100% 100% 97% 82% 41% 4%
5 FORD Tillman 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 15%
6 CARRIE Konnor 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36% 6%
7 KMETT Clementine 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% < 1%
8 PUFFENBERGER Daniel 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
9 SEATON Jake 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 19% 2%
10 CARNEY Landon 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 17%
11 BEDWORTH Paige 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
12 SINDBERG Ali 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
13 LEPESQUEUR Hiago 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
14 AGUILAR Zaid 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
15 GUIDRY-VAN ESSEN Dylan 100% 97% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
16 HAAS Lindsey 100% 97% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
17 KEITH Savannah 100% 96% 71% 27% 5% -
18 BAUM Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 42%
19 HUNTER James 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
20 SIMPSON Tobias 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 3%
21 DREWRY Alexandra 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
22 BARRETT John 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
23 BROCK Maya 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
24 SUMMEY Travis 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
25 HARKNESS Luke 100% 88% 48% 12% 1% -
26 HERNDON Rylee 100% 96% 71% 30% 5% -
27 HAYES Zackery 100% 99% 92% 62% 20% 1%
28 HANNER Robert 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
29 PIPER Maggie 100% 97% 72% 29% 5% - -
30 MCCRACKIN Andrew 100% 99% 88% 50% 11% -
31 FOUNDAS Thaddeus 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1% -
32 WOLLITZ Addison 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
33 KARRIEM Veronica 100% 84% 46% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.