2025 Szathmary Smackdown II

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 1:00 PM

TRECS Gym - Knoxville, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HINDS David E. - - - - 2% 23% 75%
2 URBANSKI Logan - - - 1% 10% 39% 49%
3 GOODSON Caleb (Caleb Goodson) B. - - 2% 12% 34% 40% 11%
3 MYERS Cooper - 1% 16% 42% 31% 8% < 1%
5 BEDWORTH Paige - - 2% 13% 37% 37% 11%
6 FISHER Edward 2% 14% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
7 BLUHM Kyle 1% 13% 42% 34% 9% 1% -
8 GREENE Max - 2% 12% 34% 40% 11% 1%
9 BORAN Connor - 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
10 TOMASI Samantha - 2% 13% 36% 38% 10% -
11 SEATON Jake - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 3%
12 KMETT Clementine 8% 39% 36% 14% 3% - -
13 SPELL Kayla 17% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
14 SHAGHAGHI Sahand 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3% -
15 CARNEY Landon 2% 16% 38% 34% 11% 1% -
16 PETERSON Nathan - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14% 1%
17 BULLOCK Trevor - 1% 8% 27% 40% 22% 2%
18 DIAMOND Gavin 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
19 COOPER Beth 9% 47% 33% 9% 1% - -
20 FISHER Natalie 46% 41% 12% 1% - - -
21 LUNSFORD Hayden 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.