2025 Szathmary Smackdown II

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 1:00 PM

TRECS Gym - Knoxville, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HINDS David E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
2 URBANSKI Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
3 GOODSON Caleb (Caleb Goodson) B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 11%
3 MYERS Cooper 100% 100% 99% 82% 40% 8% < 1%
5 BEDWORTH Paige 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11%
6 FISHER Edward 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
7 BLUHM Kyle 100% 99% 86% 44% 9% 1% -
8 GREENE Max 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 11% 1%
9 BORAN Connor 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
10 TOMASI Samantha 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 10% -
11 SEATON Jake 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 25% 3%
12 KMETT Clementine 100% 92% 53% 17% 3% - -
13 SPELL Kayla 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
14 SHAGHAGHI Sahand 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3% -
15 CARNEY Landon 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1% -
16 PETERSON Nathan 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15% 1%
17 BULLOCK Trevor 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 2%
18 DIAMOND Gavin 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
19 COOPER Beth 100% 91% 43% 11% 1% - -
20 FISHER Natalie 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
21 LUNSFORD Hayden 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.