Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC - RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
2 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
3 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
3 ZHAO Selena 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
5 ZONG Eliane 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
6 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
7 REN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
8 WANG MONA 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
9 HEATH Isabella 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
10 HU Alicia 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5%
11 NEDOPAKA Kateryna 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
12 KIM Audrey 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
13 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
14 ZHANG Audrey 100% 96% 76% 41% 14% 2% -
15 WONG Charlene 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
16 GOODWIN Julia 100% 68% 19% 2% - -
17 STADNIK Emilia 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
18 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 99% 92% 58% 20% 3%
19 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 3%
20 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
21 LIU Teresa 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
22 LIU Chelsea 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
23 XU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
24 LEE Kaitlin 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
25 WU Harper 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
26 YANG Selina 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
27 BARNES Sarah 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 4%
28 RIFKIN Lielle 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
29 NAKATA Gwyneth 100% 44% 10% 1% - -
30 CHURCH Madeline 100% 61% 13% 1% - -
31 HU Sophia 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
32 TASSONE Charlie 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
33 JAJRA Avni 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.